Yes position
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $35.52
- Potential payout
- $1.54K
- Potential profit
- $1.51K
- Multiplier
- 43.48x
- User PnL
- -$1.48
Polymarket Trader
0xc66Ff962E0eD3c5486A93568c0Ed5fDA9196AbcC-1783887639665
0xc66ff962e0ed3c5486a93568c0ed5fda9196abcc
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $236.12
- Realized PnL
- $0
- Win rate
- Unavailable
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 0
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Is Earth flat?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $8.8
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $791.2
- Multiplier
- 90.91x
- User PnL
- -$1.2
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $7.94
- Potential payout
- $588.24
- Potential profit
- $580.29
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$2.06
Yes position
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 5.9%
- Current value
- $19.71
- Potential payout
- $336.96
- Potential profit
- $317.24
- Multiplier
- 17.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.29
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.2%
- Current value
- $52.09
- Potential payout
- $246.31
- Potential profit
- $194.21
- Multiplier
- 4.73x
- User PnL
- $2.09
N
No position
Will Spain be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $50.63
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $74.38
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- $0.63
Yes position
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.8%
- Current value
- $9.35
- Potential payout
- $119.92
- Potential profit
- $110.57
- Multiplier
- 12.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.65
Yes position
Megaquake by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $8.42
- Potential payout
- $112.22
- Potential profit
- $103.81
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.58
Yes position
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $20.29
- Potential payout
- $58.82
- Potential profit
- $38.54
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- $0.29
Yes position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.1%
- Current value
- $9.97
- Potential payout
- $58.48
- Potential profit
- $48.51
- Multiplier
- 5.87x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $9.74
- Potential payout
- $52.63
- Potential profit
- $42.89
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.26
Yes position
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $3.66
- Potential payout
- $28.13
- Potential profit
- $24.47
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- -$1.34
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No closed positions returned for this trader.
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?Yes 2.4% 1,109.64 shares
- Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?Yes 17.8% 28.13 shares
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?Yes 8.3% 119.92 shares
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?Yes 6.7% 150.01 shares
- Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Yes 34% 58.82 shares
- Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 17.1% 58.48 shares
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?Yes 5.3% 186.94 shares
- Is Earth flat?Yes 1.3% 800 shares
- 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?Yes 2.3% 434.78 shares
- Megaquake by July 31?Yes 8.9% 112.22 shares
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes 19% 52.63 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 1.7% 588.24 shares