Polymarket Trader

temme

0xc673af4cde46afa08769840100f469310b2fccd3

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.65K
Realized PnL: $2.01K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 23
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $300.4
Potential payout: $364.12
Potential profit: $63.72
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $100.4

No position

Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $252.88
Potential payout: $267.59
Potential profit: $14.72
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $52.88

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 93%
Current value: $229.63
Potential payout: $246.91
Potential profit: $17.28
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $29.63

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $226.07
Potential payout: $226.86
Potential profit: $0.79
User PnL: $26.07

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 90%
Current value: $128.57
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $14.29
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $28.57

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $127.46
Potential payout: $140.85
Potential profit: $13.38
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $27.46

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $110.63
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $14.38
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $10.63

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $71.31
Potential payout: $99.73
Potential profit: $28.42
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $6.31

No position

Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $41.67
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $25
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: -$8.33

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $57.72
Potential payout: $61.73
Potential profit: $4.01
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $7.72

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $56.18
Potential profit: $56.18
User PnL: -$50

No position

Will United States win on 2026-07-06?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $29.76
Potential payout: $47.62
Potential profit: $17.86
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: -$0.24

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.9
Potential profit: $34.9
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.9
Potential profit: $33.9
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.99
Potential profit: $28.99
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 69%
Current value: $19.43
Potential payout: $28.17
Potential profit: $8.74
Multiplier: 1.45x
User PnL: -$0.57

No position

Iran closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.96
Potential profit: $26.96
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 59%
Current value: $15.53
Potential payout: $26.32
Potential profit: $10.79
Multiplier: 1.69x
User PnL: -$4.47

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 76.4%
Current value: $19.97
Potential payout: $26.14
Potential profit: $6.18
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 90%
Current value: $22.18
Potential payout: $24.66
Potential profit: $2.48
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $2.18

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Belgium to score first vs. IR Iran?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.7
Potential profit: $13.7
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $7.69
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $322.16

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $173.73

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $163.16

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $147.76

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $128.12

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $103.78

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.49

Yes position

New Pope in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.89

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.52

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.61

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.29

No position

Starmer out by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.38

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.04

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.67

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.62

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before June?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.72

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.7

No position

Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.38

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.85

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.67

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.14

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.75

Yes position

Will Elon Musk create a new political party before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.05

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.93

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?

Yes 76.5% 26.14 shares
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?

No 63% 47.62 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

Yes 71% 28.17 shares
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?

No 75% 66.67 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 80% 125 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

No 70% 71.43 shares
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?

No 75% 66.67 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

No 53% 28.3 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 94% 106.38 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

No 71% 140.85 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?

No 70% 42.86 shares
Belgium to score first vs. IR Iran?

Yes 73% 13.7 shares