Yes position
Will Trump lead in RCP on Oct 11?
Ends Oct 11, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $529.5
- Potential profit
- $529.5
- User PnL
- -$46.25
Polymarket Trader
Kswitch
0xc682d875148263fb37757bf3057c8852c2d9a1d1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $24.63
- Realized PnL
- $59.44
- Win rate
- 58.3%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Global heat increase less than 1.22°C for 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90.91
- Potential profit
- $90.91
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will NY governor remove Eric Adams from office?
Ends Oct 15, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $74.91
- Potential profit
- $74.91
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will the VP debate have 65m or more viewers?
Ends Oct 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Trump sentenced to community service?
Ends Jul 11, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.71
- Potential profit
- $35.71
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Biden finish his term?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $24.63
- Potential payout
- $24.63
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $3.2
No position
Will 'Joker: Folie à Deux' gross less than $105m opening weekend?
Ends Oct 7, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.52
- Potential profit
- $18.52
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Iran strike on US military before November?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.29
- Potential profit
- $14.29
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the VP debate have 60-65m viewers?
Ends Oct 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.33
- Potential profit
- $13.33
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Eric Adams out as NYC mayor by Friday?
Ends Oct 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.33
- Potential profit
- $8.33
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Zelensky meet with Trump in September?
Ends Sep 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.56
Yes position
Will Kamala say "border" 3+ times during her Nevada speech?
Ends Sep 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.26
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 200-224 times?
Ends Sep 27, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.64
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris say "China" 3 or more times during her Pennsylvania speech?
Ends Sep 25, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.52
No position
Will Russia capture Vuhledar before October?
Ends Sep 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.46
No position
Will Trump say "trans" during his Wisconsin speech?
Ends Sep 28, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.67
Vance position
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
Ends Oct 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.87
Yes position
Will Zelensky say "we need" 3 or more times during his UN address?
Ends Sep 27, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.26
Yes position
Will Tim Walz say "Concept" during the debate?
Ends Oct 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1
No position
Will Donald Trump say "Iran" during his Michigan town hall?
Ends Sep 27, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04
No position
Will Trump tweet 5-9 times September 20-27?
Ends Sep 27, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02
Yes position
Unemployment rate over 4.2% in September?
Ends Oct 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.98
Yes position
Will Doug Pederson be the first coach fired?
Ends Jan 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.56
Yes position
Kamala Harris 538 odds >60% Friday?
Ends Oct 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Vance position
Who will speak more at VP Debate?
Ends Oct 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Tim Walz say "gun" during the debate?
Ends Oct 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris say "new deal" during her Pennsylvania speech?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.24
Yes position
Will RFK Jr. win 1-2% of the popular vote?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.37
No position
Will California pass SB 1047 AI safety bill?
Ends Sep 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.38
Yes position
Will a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.38
Yes position
OpenSea token >1 billion a week after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.49
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris say "frack" during her Pennsylvania speech?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris say "not going back" 3 or more times during her Pennsylvania speech?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will Donald Trump say "border" 30 or more times during his Michigan town hall?
Ends Sep 27, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.71
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump lead in RCP on Oct 11?Yes 16.7% 139.47 shares
- Who will win the VP debate according to polls?Vance 27% 95.81 shares
- Will Trump lead in RCP on Oct 11?Yes 6.2% 290.03 shares
- Will Trump lead in RCP on Oct 11?Yes 5% 100 shares
- Will Kamala say "inflation" 3+ times during her Nevada speech?Yes 15% 34.4 shares
- Will Kamala say "inflation" 3+ times during her Nevada speech?Yes 1% 120.33 shares
- Will Tim Walz say "gun" during the debate?Yes 88% 4.49 shares
- Will Kamala say "border" 3+ times during her Nevada speech?Yes 60.8% 16.44 shares
- Who will speak more at VP Debate?Vance 60% 16.66 shares
- Will Biden finish his term?Yes 87% 24.63 shares
- Will Tim Walz say "Concept" during the debate?Yes 76% 4.08 shares
- Will a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency?Yes 24% 19.23 shares