ignc.v2

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $876.41
Potential profit: $876.41
User PnL: -$0.88

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on June 4?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $598.11
Potential profit: $598.11
User PnL: -$0.6

Yes position

Will "The Roast of Kevin Hart" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $354.94
Potential profit: $354.94
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

FDA approves Cingulate's Ctx-1301?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $274.59
Potential profit: $274.59
User PnL: -$13.57

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on June 7?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $252.5
Potential profit: $252.5
User PnL: -$1.01

No position

Will Frank Rubio be chosen for the Artemis III mission?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $219
Potential profit: $219
User PnL: -$2.08

No position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $198.89
Potential profit: $198.89
User PnL: -$5.52

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on June 4?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $191.97
Potential profit: $191.97
User PnL: -$0.19

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C or higher on June 8?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $168.33
Potential profit: $168.33
User PnL: -$1.01

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $160
Potential profit: $159.92
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$17.56

Yes position

Will Hylo launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 56%
Current value: $83.44
Potential payout: $149
Potential profit: $65.56
Multiplier: 1.79x
User PnL: $10.28

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 47°F or below on June 4?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $134.13
Potential profit: $134.13
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on June 6?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $108.12
Potential profit: $108.12
User PnL: -$4.37

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $102.45
Potential profit: $102.45
User PnL: -$1.21

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on June 4?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100.6
Potential profit: $100.6
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$0.5

No position

Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $35.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $64.5
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: $6.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 4?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $96.76
Potential profit: $96.76
User PnL: -$0.97

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on June 8?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $91.81
Potential profit: $91.81
User PnL: -$1.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C or below on June 8?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $91.81
Potential profit: $91.81
User PnL: -$1.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on June 8?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $89
Potential profit: $89
User PnL: -$0.89

No position

Will Silver (SI) settle at $60-$70 in June?

Implied probability: 47.2%
Current value: $40.45
Potential payout: $85.69
Potential profit: $45.24
Multiplier: 2.12x
User PnL: -$9.41

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?

Implied probability: 54%
Current value: $45.24
Potential payout: $83.86
Potential profit: $38.62
Multiplier: 1.85x
User PnL: -$8.21

No position

Will the announcers say "Comeback / Come Back" during the Canada vs Qatar FIFA World Cup Match?

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $12.4
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $67.6
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: $1.2

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $79.96
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$41.56

No position

Will Silver (SI) settle at $70-$80 in June?

Implied probability: 69.2%
Current value: $52.5
Potential payout: $75.92
Potential profit: $23.42
Multiplier: 1.45x
User PnL: $3.97

Yes position

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,050 Week of June 15 2026?

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $1.47
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $68.53
Multiplier: 47.62x
User PnL: -$19.93

No position

FDA approves GSK & Spero Therapeutics' Tebipenem HBr?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $61.88
Potential profit: $61.88
User PnL: -$23.98

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on June 6?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $61.01
Potential profit: $61.01
User PnL: -$1.56

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on June 7?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $61
Potential profit: $61
User PnL: -$0.61

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $10.06
Potential payout: $60.99
Potential profit: $50.93
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$2.43

Yes position

Cap FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.33
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $59.67
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$1.31

Yes position

Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $157.50 Week of June 15 2026?

Implied probability: 11%
Current value: $6.6
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $53.4
Multiplier: 9.09x
User PnL: -$9.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on June 4?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $54.63
Potential profit: $54.63
User PnL: -$0.11

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on June 19?

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $9.97
Potential payout: $51.11
Potential profit: $41.14
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$2.24

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $7.86
Potential payout: $50.72
Potential profit: $42.86
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$5.33

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.3
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.7
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$0.51

No position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on June 6?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $47.04
Potential profit: $47.04
User PnL: -$38.52

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 8?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46.51
Potential profit: $46.51
User PnL: -$1.14

Yes position

Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.32
Potential payout: $45.79
Potential profit: $45.47
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: -$1.1

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on June 6?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45
Potential profit: $45
User PnL: -$23.33

No position

Will Marco Rubio attend the G7 Summit?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40.18
Potential profit: $40.18
User PnL: -$19.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $5.8
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $34.2
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$5

No position

Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 58.1%
Current value: $23.24
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $16.76
Multiplier: 1.72x
User PnL: $1.62

Yes position

Cap FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 7.4%
Current value: $2.96
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $37.04
Multiplier: 13.51x
User PnL: -$0.48

No position

Cap FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 46%
Current value: $18.4
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $21.6
Multiplier: 2.17x
User PnL: $1.87

Yes position

Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$0.22

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on June 19?

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $11.8
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $28.2
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: $1

No position

Will Hylo launch a token by December 31, 2027?

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $23.2
Potential payout: $39
Potential profit: $15.8
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: -$1.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on June 19?

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $8.55
Potential payout: $36.37
Potential profit: $27.82
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$0.3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $43.92

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?

Implied probability: 46.1%
Multiplier: 2.17x
User PnL: $33.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 2.7%
Multiplier: 37.04x
User PnL: $20.8

Yes position

Will OpenAI file for an IPO by June 5, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $20.6

No position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C or higher on June 6?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.5

No position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.25

No position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on June 4?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on June 4?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.58

Yes position

Another critical Cloudflare incident by May 31, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.46

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 99.5%
User PnL: $11.27

No position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on June 5?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.22

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $11

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on June 5?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.82

No position

Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 30?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on June 6?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on June 6?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.35

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on June 6?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.9

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 7?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.45

Yes position

Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $66 Week of June 15 2026?

Implied probability: 82.5%
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $5.8

Yes position

Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 1-June 7?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.64

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on June 6?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.45

No position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C or higher on June 5?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on June 6?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.17

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on June 5?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 23.5%
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: $4.48

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Ankle" during the Mexico vs South Korea FIFA World Cup Match?

Implied probability: 62%
Multiplier: 1.61x
User PnL: $4.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on June 8?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.3

Yes position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.26

No position

Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.26

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on June 5?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.2

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 4?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on June 7?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.9

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 5?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.9

Yes position

Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 22%
Multiplier: 4.55x
User PnL: $3.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on June 6?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.7

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 4?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.65

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C or higher on June 4?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.6

No position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 6?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.46

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on June 7?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 5?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on June 5?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.2

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 7?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on June 8?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 7?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.98

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on June 7?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on June 7?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.95

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on June 5?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.9

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 5?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.65

No position

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on June 5?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.65

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C or higher on June 6?