Polymarket Trader

0xc6bf...a82d

0xc6bf5d6c6ed99a229edda5cd3370add3b5cfa82d

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $11.89
Realized PnL: $1.26
Win rate: 16.7%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 6
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.18
Potential profit: $18.18
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 19.9%
Current value: $1.99
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $8.02
Multiplier: 5.04x
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 40.8%
Current value: $2.14
Potential payout: $5.25
Potential profit: $3.1
Multiplier: 2.45x
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5.13
Potential payout: $5.13
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $3.13

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-07-14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.85
Potential profit: $4.85
User PnL: -$2

Over position

England vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 0.5

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.63
Potential payout: $2.63
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.63

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.54

Yes position

Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 96.8%
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 14%
Multiplier: 7.17x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 48.5%
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: -$0.06

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.06

Yes position

Exact Score: England 1 - 1 Argentina?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.12

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 40.6% 5.25 shares
Exact Score: England 1 - 1 Argentina?

Yes 16% 11.76 shares
Exact Score: England 1 - 1 Argentina?

Yes 17% 11.76 shares
Will France win on 2026-07-14?

Yes 41.2% 4.85 shares
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 14.1% 28.16 shares
England vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 0.5

Over 76% 2.63 shares
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 14.2% 14.08 shares
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 14.2% 14.08 shares
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain?

Yes 11% 18.18 shares
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 20% 10 shares
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?

Yes 39% 5.13 shares
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

Yes 96.4% 2.05 shares