No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $44.47K
- Potential profit
- $44.47K
- User PnL
- -$132.11
Polymarket Trader
Ckline711
0xc6c88f8fa99c3f13b87c964e6ada9aa30a0ab56c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $36.25
- Realized PnL
- -$13.48
- Win rate
- 28.6%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $769.23
- Potential profit
- $769.23
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Taylor Swift get married in Manhattan?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 27%
- Current value
- $28.75
- Potential payout
- $106.47
- Potential profit
- $77.73
- Multiplier
- 3.70x
- User PnL
- $8.75
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $7.5
- Potential payout
- $51.72
- Potential profit
- $44.22
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$22.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $223.68
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.28
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.14
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20.51
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$48.22
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$68.89
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$108.68
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Taylor Swift get married in Manhattan?No 19% 57.89 shares
- Will Taylor Swift get married in Manhattan?No 18.5% 48.58 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?No 10.1% 248.68 shares
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026?Yes 5% 512.88 shares
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026?Yes 9% 512.89 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?Yes 2.7% 142.85 shares
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 10, 2026?Yes 1.9% 2,184.34 shares
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 10, 2026?Yes 6.9% 2,184.34 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 58% 51.72 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?Yes 7% 142.86 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?No 92% 190.98 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?Yes 2.4% 496.14 shares