Polymarket Trader

lupi69

0xc6c8bf649a7080f8d140c30dcb91a7fa144f140e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $20.31
Realized PnL: $16.71
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Australia reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 3.4%
Current value: $1.24
Potential payout: $37.04
Potential profit: $35.8
Multiplier: 29.85x
User PnL: $0.24

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 3.4%
Current value: $0.84
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $24.16
Multiplier: 29.85x
User PnL: -$0.16

Yes position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $0.98
Potential payout: $21.74
Potential profit: $20.76
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will Florian Wirtz record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2026

Implied probability: 12.1%
Current value: $2.51
Potential payout: $20.83
Potential profit: $18.32
Multiplier: 8.30x
User PnL: $1.51

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $1.01
Potential payout: $18.87
Potential profit: $17.86
Multiplier: 18.69x
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will Spain win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $1.21
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $13.07
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: $0.21

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Brazil score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2026

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $0.48
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $10.63
Multiplier: 23.31x
User PnL: -$0.52

Yes position

Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $0.96
Potential payout: $8.33
Potential profit: $7.37
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will Brazil be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 8%
Current value: $0.67
Potential payout: $8.33
Potential profit: $7.67
Multiplier: 12.50x
User PnL: -$0.33

Yes position

Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $7.69
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $7.66
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$0.97

No position

GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $4.54
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $2.61
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: $3.54

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $1.3
Potential payout: $6.67
Potential profit: $5.37
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: $0.3

Yes position

Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $0.97
Potential payout: $6.25
Potential profit: $5.28
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $0.97
Potential payout: $5.88
Potential profit: $4.91
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.56
Potential profit: $5.56
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will England be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 15%
Current value: $0.83
Potential payout: $5.56
Potential profit: $4.72
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: -$0.17

Yes position

Will Spain be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $0.75
Potential payout: $5.56
Potential profit: $4.81
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.56
Potential profit: $5.56
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will "Attention" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 15?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.26
Potential profit: $5.26
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.26
Potential profit: $5.26
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.26
Potential profit: $5.26
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $1.03
Potential payout: $5.26
Potential profit: $4.24
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: $0.03

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.54

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.44

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.38

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.31

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.09

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.83

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.65

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.55

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.53

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.53

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.49

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.47

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.44

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.39

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.38

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.37

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.35

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.34

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.33

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.33

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 2.5

Over 54% 1.85 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 70% 1.43 shares
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?

Yes 4.6% 21.74 shares
Will Norway win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 22% 4.55 shares
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 7% 5 shares
Will Sweden win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 18% 3.33 shares
Will Sweden win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 30% 3.33 shares
France vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5

Over 48% 2.04 shares
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 76% 1.32 shares
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 67% 1.49 shares
Spread: Spain (-2.5)

Saudi Arabia 51% 1.96 shares
Spread: France (-2.5)

France 54% 1.85 shares