Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $4.35K
- Potential payout
- $5.4K
- Potential profit
- $1.05K
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $115
Polymarket Trader
ilovepepefrog
0xc6cba81c4ae72ee220f008e4b097aa1f1453bbf0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $12.91K
- Realized PnL
- $26.04K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $2.62K
- Potential payout
- $2.65K
- Potential profit
- $31.77
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $230.76
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.6%
- Current value
- $1.87K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $129
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $3
Yes position
Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $11.71
- Potential payout
- $1.95K
- Potential profit
- $1.94K
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- -$18.75
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 19.6%
- Current value
- $279.57
- Potential payout
- $1.43K
- Potential profit
- $1.15K
- Multiplier
- 5.12x
- User PnL
- -$435.44
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $1.15K
- Potential payout
- $1.43K
- Potential profit
- $279.57
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $435.43
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $1.02K
- Potential payout
- $1.03K
- Potential profit
- $6.16
- User PnL
- $116.97
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Current value
- $633.78
- Potential payout
- $1.01K
- Potential profit
- $380.27
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- -$73.73
No position
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $805
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $195
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$25
No position
Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 85.6%
- Current value
- $171.2
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $28.8
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $21.2
Yes position
Will Park Heong-joon win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $37.5
- Potential profit
- $37.5
- User PnL
- -$15.14
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.05K
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.8K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.85K
No position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.85K
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.78K
Yes position
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.54K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.54K
No position
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33K
No position
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25K
No position
Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $870
No position
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $804.21
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $739.05
No position
Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $721.59
Yes position
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $718.17
Yes position
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $709.86
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $625.81
No position
North Korea missile launch by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $605.33
No position
Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $537.7
No position
Weed rescheduled by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $517.88
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $499.93
No position
Trump out as President by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $473.8
No position
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $439.34
Yes position
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?
Ends Dec 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $403.55
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $380.69
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Yes 9% 872.28 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes 19% 100 shares
- Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No 42% 1.23 shares
- Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?No 99.3% 2,382.47 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No 95.7% 430.61 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes 25% 208 shares
- Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes 5% 411.03 shares
- Will Park Heong-joon win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?Yes 43% 24.32 shares
- Will Park Heong-joon win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?Yes 43% 12 shares
- Will Park Heong-joon win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?Yes 38% 25 shares
- Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?Yes 64% 7.86 shares
- Will Park Heong-joon win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?Yes 34% 25 shares