No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $1.84K
- Potential payout
- $2.01K
- Potential profit
- $170.84
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $30.22
Polymarket Trader
tth901022
0xc6cfe418b42d46c3e8c38bf1f16cf6e86afdb265
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3K
- Realized PnL
- $282.97
- Win rate
- 90.9%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 22
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Trump lower tariffs on China in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.38K
- Potential profit
- $1.38K
- User PnL
- -$729.24
No position
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $595.25
- Potential payout
- $599.15
- Potential profit
- $3.89
- User PnL
- $45.02
No position
Will Kim Kardashian pass the bar exam by May 3?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $297.07
- Potential payout
- $297.07
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $43.43
No position
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $271.55
- Potential payout
- $271.55
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $12.49
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $227.43
- Potential profit
- $227.43
- User PnL
- -$199.56
Yes position
Will Trump say "Rich country" or "Richest country" during Saudi PM events on November 18?
Ends Nov 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $77.43
- Potential profit
- $77.43
- User PnL
- -$50
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.91
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.91
No position
Trump bans China from buying US farmland?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.75
No position
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 before April?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.31
Yes position
54% tariff goes into effect on China by Wednesday?
Ends Apr 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.72
No position
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.51
No position
Will Trump remove tariff on China before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.72
No position
Trump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.26
No position
TikTok sale announced before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.16
No position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.69
No position
Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.88
No position
DeepSeek confirmed to have used banned Nvidia chips?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.29
No position
DeepSeek better than all OpenAI models before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.47
No position
Will China unban Bitcoin by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.97
No position
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.03
No position
Will Trump say "Moon" during Saudi PM events on November 18?
Ends Nov 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.74
Yes position
Trump imposes 40% tariff on China in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.9
No position
Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $1.56
No position
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.67
No position
Will China unban Bitcoin by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
X allowed to operate in China before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.52
No position
Will xAI have the top AI model on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$205.11
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?No 89% 170.86 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 86% 200 shares
- Will Trump visit China by March 31?No 95.4% 271.55 shares
- Will Kim Kardashian pass the bar exam by May 3?No 87.2% 297.07 shares
- Will Trump visit China by April 30?Yes 87.7% 227.43 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 90% 200 shares
- Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?No 88% 22.22 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 90% 2,409.87 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?No 98.2% 54.37 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?No 97.4% 23.6 shares
- OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?No 92% 24.99 shares
- OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?No 93% 453.28 shares