Yes position
Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.6
- Potential payout
- $170
- Potential profit
- $169.41
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.43
Polymarket Trader
0xc6d7...4399
0xc6d76fd31b710883900a14c75eab96515dfb4399
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $28.94
- Realized PnL
- $136.4
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.53
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $149.48
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.53
Yes position
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.53
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $149.48
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.53
Yes position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.8%
- Current value
- $5.09
- Potential payout
- $107.25
- Potential profit
- $102.16
- Multiplier
- 21.05x
- User PnL
- -$3.53
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $98.75
- Potential profit
- $98.75
- User PnL
- -$8.69
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Maryland governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $2.94
- Potential payout
- $83
- Potential profit
- $80.06
- Multiplier
- 28.25x
- User PnL
- -$2.87
Yes position
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $3.36
- Potential payout
- $79
- Potential profit
- $75.64
- Multiplier
- 23.53x
- User PnL
- -$5.33
Yes position
Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $3.11
- Potential payout
- $77.65
- Potential profit
- $74.54
- Multiplier
- 25.00x
- User PnL
- -$5.45
Yes position
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $2.86
- Potential payout
- $66
- Potential profit
- $63.14
- Multiplier
- 23.04x
- User PnL
- -$5.72
Yes position
Will Drake feature Metro Boomin on ICEMAN?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $65.22
- Potential profit
- $65.22
- User PnL
- -$7.17
Yes position
Will Waymo launch in Detroit by June 30 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $63
- Potential profit
- $63
- User PnL
- -$7.52
Yes position
Will Waymo launch in Denver by June 30 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $61.5
- Potential profit
- $61.5
- User PnL
- -$8.65
Yes position
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $59.97
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.99
Yes position
US bank failure by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $60
- User PnL
- -$3.6
Yes position
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.12
- Potential payout
- $59.37
- Potential profit
- $59.26
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- -$7.93
Y
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party win the IN-08 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $2.04
- Potential payout
- $59.2
- Potential profit
- $57.16
- Multiplier
- 28.99x
- User PnL
- -$2.1
No position
Will Cindy Burbank be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Nebraska?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $57.09
- Potential profit
- $57.09
- User PnL
- -$3.04
No position
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.4%
- Current value
- $1.71
- Potential payout
- $51
- Potential profit
- $49.29
- Multiplier
- 29.85x
- User PnL
- -$3.9
No position
Will Chris Pappas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?
Ends Sep 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Current value
- $4.73
- Potential payout
- $43
- Potential profit
- $38.27
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40.75
- Potential profit
- $40.75
- User PnL
- -$4.03
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $0.77
- Potential payout
- $40.5
- Potential profit
- $39.73
- Multiplier
- 52.63x
- User PnL
- -$1.66
No position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$2.34
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $0.54
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $39.46
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$2.84
Yes position
Zendaya confirmed pregnant by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $39.5
- Potential profit
- $39.5
- User PnL
- -$4.48
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the DHS shutdown end between April 29-30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.02
Yes position
Will Waymo operate in 8 cities on June 30 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.42
No position
Will Poland qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17
Yes position
Will the Rolex Index hit $12,350 (HIGH) by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.95
Yes position
Will Elliot die in Euphoria: Season 3?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.92
Yes position
Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.45
No position
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.52
Yes position
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.09
Yes position
Evangeline Lilly as the Wasp?
Ends Dec 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 21%
- Multiplier
- 4.76x
- User PnL
- $5.4
Yes position
Will Lee Jung-hyun win the 2026 Jeonnam–Gwangju mayoral election?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.59
Yes position
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.56
Sergey Fomin position
Shymkent: Sandro Kopp vs Sergey Fomin
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.27
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.07
Yes position
Will the Patek Index hit $105,000 (LOW) by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.04
Yes position
Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.6%
- Multiplier
- 15.27x
- User PnL
- $2.02
No position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.02
Yes position
Revolut IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- $1.95
No position
BitBoy convicted?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.71
Yes position
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.7
Yes position
Diddy released from custody in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.1%
- Multiplier
- 7.12x
- User PnL
- $1.68
No position
Will Jules Vaughn die in Euphoria: Season 3?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.6
Y
Yes position
Will the Republican Party win the AL-07 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- $1.51
No position
Will Galatasaray win the Süper Lig?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.5
Yes position
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.42
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Revolut IPO before 2027?Yes 12% 5.09 shares
- Revolut IPO before 2027?Yes 12% 34 shares
- Will Ferguson Porter advance from the CA-48 primary election?Yes 1% 3.53 shares
- Will Ferguson Porter advance from the CA-48 primary election?Yes 1% 11.47 shares
- Will Ferguson Porter advance from the CA-48 primary election?Yes 1.1% 1.87 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?Yes 10% 15.19 shares
- Will LOS win CBLOL 2026 Split 1?Yes 8.7% 3.84 shares
- Will LOS win CBLOL 2026 Split 1?Yes 8.7% 9.58 shares
- Will Nate Blouin be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?Yes 20% 3 shares
- Will Nate Blouin be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?Yes 22% 5 shares
- NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?Yes 10.6% 16.55 shares
- Will Jean Castex be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 10.1% 6 shares