No position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $1.22K
- Potential payout
- $3.52K
- Potential profit
- $2.31K
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- -$1.17K
Polymarket Trader
0xc6e1926FDb49F824E62E24f5434da966bA3e3b95-1724106061724
0xc6e1926fdb49f824e62e24f5434da966ba3e3b95
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $11.14K
- Realized PnL
- $6.53K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Current value
- $2.98K
- Potential payout
- $3.09K
- Potential profit
- $114.49
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $59.76
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $1.19K
- Potential payout
- $2.1K
- Potential profit
- $913.72
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$182.97
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $1.4K
- Potential payout
- $1.7K
- Potential profit
- $297.42
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $49.33
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $217.47
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.28K
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$608.86
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $818.87
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $295.24
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- -$50.13
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.1%
- Current value
- $1.03K
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $65.47
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $19.89
No position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19%
- Current value
- $199.24
- Potential payout
- $1.05K
- Potential profit
- $852.17
- Multiplier
- 5.28x
- User PnL
- -$604.32
No position
Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $363.05
- Potential payout
- $600.09
- Potential profit
- $237.04
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- $14.42
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $50.25
- Potential payout
- $591.23
- Potential profit
- $540.97
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$131.54
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $407.07
- Potential payout
- $505.67
- Potential profit
- $98.61
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$17.7
No position
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $102.1
- Potential payout
- $400.38
- Potential profit
- $298.28
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$4.4
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $37.83
- Potential payout
- $398.2
- Potential profit
- $360.37
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$110.17
No position
Will Solana dip to $30 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 78%
- Current value
- $197.21
- Potential payout
- $252.83
- Potential profit
- $55.62
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- -$15.09
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 75%
- Current value
- $152.01
- Potential payout
- $202.68
- Potential profit
- $50.67
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- -$12.48
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $95
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $105
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- -$9
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $26
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $174
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- -$66
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $147
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $53
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- -$9
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 21.7%
- Current value
- $43.4
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $156.6
- Multiplier
- 4.61x
- User PnL
- -$35.72
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $87
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $113
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- -$8
No position
Will XRP dip to $0.60 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 65%
- Current value
- $122.56
- Potential payout
- $188.55
- Potential profit
- $65.99
- Multiplier
- 1.54x
- User PnL
- -$18.39
Vinicius Oliveira position
UFC Fight Night: Andre Fili vs. Vinicius Oliveira (Featherweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $71.1
- Potential payout
- $100.85
- Potential profit
- $29.75
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- -$1.31
No position
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $35B by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.7%
- Current value
- $90.18
- Potential payout
- $100.59
- Potential profit
- $10.41
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $5.18
Yes position
UFC: Will Conor McGregor Fight in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $89.88
- Potential payout
- $100.43
- Potential profit
- $10.55
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $2.98
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $765.81
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $554.92
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $533.62
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $377.25
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $363.97
Chimaev position
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev
Ends Aug 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $330
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $321.14
No position
Will Ethereum reach $6200 in August?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $309.93
No position
Will Ethereum reach $4200 in July?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $297
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $275.86
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,400 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $261.8
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $226.78
No position
Another US military action against Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $211.49
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $210.46
No position
Will Ethereum reach $5800 in August?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $205
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $175.94
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $161.66
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $155
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $152.25
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $140
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $131.02
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $124.4
No position
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $124.06
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $118.57
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No 94.2% 1,000 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 78% 1,012.82 shares
- Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 1.1% 918.95 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 1.3% 1,053.84 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 78% 101.28 shares
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?No 95.5% 1,047.12 shares
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?No 95.5% 1,047.12 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?No 45% 55.56 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?No 45% 44.44 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?No 45% 102.22 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?No 44.6% 100.82 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?No 44% 100 shares