Polymarket Trader

0xc6FdF3eDfD7f8b0f9c25Ab8366d63684FDd1c3b8-1772442779728

0xc6fdf3edfd7f8b0f9c25ab8366d63684fdd1c3b8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $62.14
Realized PnL: $184.79
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Russia capture Lyman by April 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $211.81
Potential profit: $211.81
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.4%
Current value: $8.95
Potential payout: $48.78
Potential profit: $39.83
Multiplier: 5.45x
User PnL: -$1.05

Yes position

Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $45.45
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 32.8%
Current value: $14.24
Potential payout: $43.48
Potential profit: $29.24
Multiplier: 3.05x
User PnL: $4.24

Yes position

Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.04
Potential profit: $37.04
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $22.68
Potential payout: $22.99
Potential profit: $0.31
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $12.68

Yes position

Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $4.92
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $11.75
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.71
Potential profit: $14.71
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $11.36
Potential payout: $11.36
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $6.36

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $31.24

Yes position

Will the Individual taxation referendum be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.43

Yes position

Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $20.95

Yes position

Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.53

Yes position

Will Trump say "Beautiful" 10+ times during Women's History Month event?

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

Yes position

Will Powell say "Dollar" 2+ times during March press conference?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.42

No position

Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.44

Yes position

Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.08

Yes position

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.89

Yes position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.05

No position

Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.51

Yes position

Will Starmer say "Reform" 2+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.37

Yes position

Will India win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.29

No position

Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in March 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4

No position

Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.73

Alex Molcan position

BMW Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Alex Molcan

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.7

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.33

Yes position

Will "Iran" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 15)

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.91

Yes position

Will "Nvidia" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.8

No position

Will Iran strike Abqaiq oil processing facility by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.27

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.13

Yes position

Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.21

Yes position

Will "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the top global Netflix show this week?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.1

Yes position

Will France strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.4

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?

Yes 44% 11.36 shares
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30?

Yes 8% 62.5 shares
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30?

Yes 27% 37.04 shares
Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?

Yes 30% 16.67 shares
Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw?

Yes 34% 14.71 shares
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30?

Yes 8% 62.5 shares
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?

Yes 43.5% 22.99 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 20.5% 48.78 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 23% 43.48 shares
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Milwaukee Brewers

Toronto Blue Jays 46% 10.52 shares
BMW Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Alex Molcan

Alex Molcan 73% 13.48 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on April 17?

Yes 33.2% 28.12 shares