0xc70b...d2f2

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $2.66
Potential payout: $5.32K
Potential profit: $5.32K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$6.34

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $2.6
Potential payout: $5.2K
Potential profit: $5.2K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.31

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.2
Potential payout: $2.4K
Potential profit: $2.4K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.2

Yes position

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $88.72
Potential payout: $2.25K
Potential profit: $2.16K
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: $46.13

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $9.66
Potential payout: $2.15K
Potential profit: $2.14K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$1.07

Yes position

Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $27.27
Potential payout: $1.76K
Potential profit: $1.73K
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: $20.23

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.75
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$14.25

No position

US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.7
Potential payout: $1.4K
Potential profit: $1.4K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.5

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.65
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $1.3K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.25

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.6
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.2K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $1.8
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.2K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.6
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.2K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.6
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.2K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $1.35
Potential payout: $900
Potential profit: $898.65
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$1.35

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.44
Potential payout: $880
Potential profit: $879.56
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $1.93
Potential payout: $771.42
Potential profit: $769.49
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$3.47

Yes position

Will Patrick Reed win the 2026 U.S. Open?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $9.3
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $590.7
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $2.07
Potential payout: $592.34
Potential profit: $590.26
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: $0.3

Yes position

Will Rupert Lowe be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $5.32
Potential payout: $591
Potential profit: $585.68
Multiplier: 111.11x
User PnL: -$0.59

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $2.01
Potential payout: $575.58
Potential profit: $573.57
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: $0.29

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $3.09
Potential payout: $562.56
Potential profit: $559.47
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$0.28

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 3.2%
Current value: $16.31
Potential payout: $517.73
Potential profit: $501.42
Multiplier: 31.75x
User PnL: $0.26

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $8.01
Potential payout: $485.5
Potential profit: $477.49
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$0.73

Yes position

Will Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $29.75
Potential payout: $457.71
Potential profit: $427.96
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$6.87

Yes position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $17.78
Potential payout: $450
Potential profit: $432.23
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: -$0.23

Yes position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $18.45
Potential payout: $450
Potential profit: $431.55
Multiplier: 24.39x
User PnL: -$4.05

Yes position

Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $5.49
Potential payout: $422.28
Potential profit: $416.79
Multiplier: 76.92x
User PnL: $2.96

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $73.8
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $326.2
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: $7.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $399
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.9%
Current value: $63.57
Potential payout: $399.8
Potential profit: $336.23
Multiplier: 6.29x
User PnL: -$1.59

Atlanta Braves position

San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $200.63
Potential payout: $375
Potential profit: $174.38
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: -$24.38

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $24.39
Potential payout: $364
Potential profit: $339.61
Multiplier: 14.93x
User PnL: $8.11

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $3.32
Potential payout: $349.09
Potential profit: $345.77
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$0.52

Yes position

Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 U.S. Open?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 4.4%
Current value: $12.86
Potential payout: $292.17
Potential profit: $279.31
Multiplier: 22.73x
User PnL: -$0.88

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $2.13
Potential payout: $283.63
Potential profit: $281.5
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$0.14

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $3.08
Potential payout: $267.85
Potential profit: $264.77
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $1.7
Potential payout: $261.81
Potential profit: $260.11
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$0.6

No position

Will England win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $110.93
Potential payout: $255
Potential profit: $144.08
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: -$1.28

Yes position

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $33.75
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $216.25
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: $3.75

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $33.89
Potential payout: $193.65
Potential profit: $159.76
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$5.73

Yes position

Will Hong Kong have 500mm or more of precipitation in June?

Implied probability: 98%
Current value: $189.64
Potential payout: $193.61
Potential profit: $3.97
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $13.46

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $134.73
Potential payout: $191.1
Potential profit: $56.37
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $12.47
Potential payout: $177.14
Potential profit: $164.67
Multiplier: 14.20x
User PnL: $7.55

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $1.34
Potential payout: $157.64
Potential profit: $156.3
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$3.58

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $20.82
Potential payout: $151.98
Potential profit: $131.16
Multiplier: 7.30x
User PnL: -$6.69

No position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 81.6%
Current value: $98.67
Potential payout: $120.99
Potential profit: $22.32
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: -$1.51

Over position

Austria vs. Jordan: 1st Half O/U 0.5

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $116
Potential payout: $116.06
Potential profit: $0.06
User PnL: $32.44

Yes position

Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $2.05
Potential payout: $110.6
Potential profit: $108.55
Multiplier: 54.05x
User PnL: $1.38

Resolved Context

Closed positions

MOUZ position

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.91K

9z position

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.42K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.42K

BetBoom Team position

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.36K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.25K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $984.7

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $919.19

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $899.89

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $844.56

G2 position

Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $821.32

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $777.53

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $726.26

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $708.53

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $689.14

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $671.42

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $644.31

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $642.1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $634.05

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $630.76

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $607.98

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $603.35

Yes position

Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Senegal?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $600.94

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $599.73

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $599.46

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $581.16

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $543.72

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $533.47

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $515.9

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $511.03

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $498.95

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $496.81

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $492.78

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $488.65

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $480.33

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $476.01

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $475.75

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $463.26

Over position

France vs. Senegal: O/U 4.5

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $436.64

Under position

France vs. Senegal: O/U 4.5

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $427.93

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $418.04

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $411.7

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $411.68

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $407.71

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $407.69

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $389.15

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $370.93

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $362.55

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $360.92

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $360.1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET