No position
Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $33.76
- Potential payout
- $35
- Potential profit
- $1.24
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $16.26
Polymarket Trader
0xc71b...9f8e
0xc71b4ece501c3cf486032506b4457fa05fb49f8e
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $78.95
- Realized PnL
- $11.56
- Win rate
- 73.3%
- Open positions
- 15
- Closed positions
- 15
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
China coup attempt before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $0.47
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.53
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- -$0.61
Yes position
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.3%
- Current value
- $9.58
- Potential payout
- $18
- Potential profit
- $8.42
- Multiplier
- 1.88x
- User PnL
- -$2.09
Yes position
Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $0.39
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $10.61
- Multiplier
- 28.25x
- User PnL
- -$5.11
Yes position
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $1.05
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $8.95
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will Microsoft acquire TikTok?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $9
- User PnL
- -$1.81
No position
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $6.96
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $1.04
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
No position
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $6.2
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $1.8
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $1.56
Yes position
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49%
- Current value
- $3.92
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $4.08
- Multiplier
- 2.04x
- User PnL
- $0.56
Yes position
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $1.01
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $5.99
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $6
- User PnL
- -$1.22
Yes position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.3%
- Current value
- $4.76
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $1.25
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
No position
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $4.98
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $0.27
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $0.88
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0.13
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $7
Yes position
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $6.84
Yes position
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- $1.68
Yes position
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- $0.77
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.72
No position
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $0.48
No position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $0.4
Yes position
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.3%
- Multiplier
- 3.41x
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.34
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.6%
- Multiplier
- 28.17x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$0.4
Yes position
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$6.87
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?No 88% 8 shares
- Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 15% 7 shares
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?Yes 84.3% 6 shares
- Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 78% 6 shares
- U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?Yes 10% 10 shares
- Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?No 78% 7 shares
- Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?Yes 34% 5 shares
- Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?No 80% 5 shares
- Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 20% 8 shares
- Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?No 77% 9 shares
- Modi out by December 31, 2026?No 90.8% 7 shares
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?No 82% 8 shares