Yes position
Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.8%
- Current value
- $2.93
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $30.4
- Multiplier
- 11.36x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Polymarket Trader
0xc71c...e182
0xc71ce2f4e87db5ca034640663ff19a7ca3ebe182
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $47.17
- Realized PnL
- $7.58
- Win rate
- 60%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 5
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $29.17
- Potential payout
- $29.72
- Potential profit
- $0.55
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.58
Yes position
Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 31%
- Current value
- $9.12
- Potential payout
- $29.41
- Potential profit
- $20.29
- Multiplier
- 3.23x
- User PnL
- $4.12
Yes position
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $5.95
- Potential payout
- $17.24
- Potential profit
- $11.29
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- $0.95
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.74
Yes position
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.14
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.61
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by January 9, 2026?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.91
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No 96.2% 29.72 shares
- Will GTA 6 cost $100+?Yes 1.4% 1,000 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes 92% 7.61 shares
- Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Yes 9% 33.33 shares
- Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Yes 17% 29.41 shares
- Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Yes 29% 17.24 shares
- Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?Yes 70% 7.14 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes 46% 21.74 shares
- Israel strikes Iran by January 9, 2026?Yes 2.5% 121.2 shares
- Will GTA 6 cost $100+?Yes 1.8% 1,000 shares