Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 14.6%
- Current value
- $1.09K
- Potential payout
- $7.5K
- Potential profit
- $6.41K
- Multiplier
- 6.87x
- User PnL
- -$2.66K
Polymarket Trader
0xrandd8
@0xrandd_8
0xc722c1a1a0bfddf4e0edb3286f7ebce127221334
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $8.6K
- Realized PnL
- $14.18K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $6.41K
- Potential payout
- $7.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.09K
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $2.66K
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $405.18
- Potential payout
- $4.27K
- Potential profit
- $3.86K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$136.61
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $304.99
- Potential payout
- $999.98
- Potential profit
- $694.98
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Current value
- $187.83
- Potential payout
- $500.88
- Potential profit
- $313.05
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- $2.5
Y
Yes position
Qatar to win the second half?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $499.99
- Potential profit
- $499.99
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $78.61
- Potential payout
- $476.41
- Potential profit
- $397.8
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$1.51
N
No position
Will Alan Wilson win the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary Runoff by at least 15%?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.6%
- Current value
- $30.76
- Potential payout
- $359.77
- Potential profit
- $329.01
- Multiplier
- 11.70x
- User PnL
- -$4.47
Yes position
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 21%
- Current value
- $39.41
- Potential payout
- $187.68
- Potential profit
- $148.27
- Multiplier
- 4.76x
- User PnL
- $7.12
N
No position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$18.8
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $49.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $50.5
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- $0
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.24K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.13K
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03K
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- $872.18
PHO position
Lakers vs. Suns
Ends Oct 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $820.17
No position
Will the government shutdown end November 12?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $775.5
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $760.28
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $730.26
No position
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $682.99
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $483.24
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $466.99
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $425.93
Yes position
Will Japan win on 2025-10-14?
Ends Oct 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $372.69
Yes position
Over 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $348.83
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $340.99
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $337.87
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $319.44
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $305.33
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $278.24
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $272.94
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $272.19
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $267.1
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $265.57
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 9% 210.03 shares
- Will Iván Cepeda win between 45% and 50% of votes in the first round of the 2026 Colombian election?Yes 0.1% 100 shares
- Will Iván Cepeda win between 45% and 50% of votes in the first round of the 2026 Colombian election?Yes 1% 100 shares
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?Yes 18% 500 shares
- Starmer out by June 26, 2026?Yes 52% 5.07 shares
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?Yes 21% 421.1 shares
- Starmer out by June 26, 2026?Yes 54% 130.04 shares
- Will Alan Wilson win the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary Runoff by at least 15%?No 9.9% 110 shares
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?Yes 13% 94.15 shares
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?Yes 17% 100.25 shares
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?Yes 18% 200 shares
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?Yes 19% 72.59 shares