farmersalmanac

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $116.96
Potential profit: $116.96
User PnL: -$4.68

Down position

XRP Up or Down - July 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $66.67
User PnL: -$2

Up position

XRP Up or Down - July 6, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $53.97
Potential profit: $53.97
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will US GDP growth in 2026 be greater than 2.5%?

Ends Jan 29, 2027

Implied probability: 72%
Current value: $36
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $14
Multiplier: 1.39x
User PnL: $1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on March 21?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.97
Potential profit: $43.97
User PnL: -$2.64

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $42.22
Potential profit: $42.22
User PnL: -$4.83

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.22
Potential profit: $22.22
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 3PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.05
Potential profit: $21.05
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $14.29
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11
Potential profit: $11
User PnL: -$7.72

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$5.61

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.52
Potential profit: $9.52
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.52
Potential profit: $9.52
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.74
Potential profit: $8.74
User PnL: -$4

Down position

XRP Up or Down - July 8, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.7
Potential profit: $8.7
User PnL: -$2

Down position

XRP Up or Down - July 6, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.41
Potential profit: $7.41
User PnL: -$2

Down position

XRP Up or Down - July 6, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.41
Potential profit: $7.41
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.99
Potential profit: $6.99
User PnL: -$5.74

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.9
Potential profit: $6.9
User PnL: -$2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.35

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 20?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.29

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.63

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.13

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.67

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.45

Over position

Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.36

Down position

XRP Up or Down - July 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.25

Up position

XRP Up or Down - July 7, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.88

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.71

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.6

Up position

XRP Up or Down - July 8, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.56

Up position

XRP Up or Down - July 8, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.41

Virginia Cavaliers position

Tennessee Volunteers vs. Virginia Cavaliers

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.35

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.13

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.06

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.04

Up position

XRP Up or Down - July 6, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.88

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.85

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.77

Up position

XRP Up or Down - July 7, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.76

Up position

XRP Up or Down - July 7, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET