Yes position
Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Current value
- $55
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $445
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- -$28.33
Polymarket Trader
goffree
0xc73e2d95fcdf289b6016c0bbbf4e30c495cd2a79
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $878.98
- Realized PnL
- $42.64K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will there be exactly 8 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $2.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $497.5
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- -$80.83
Yes position
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $447.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $52.5
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $364.17
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $373.81
- Potential payout
- $400.01
- Potential profit
- $26.2
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.17
- Potential payout
- $344
- Potential profit
- $343.83
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$57.16
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.37K
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on April 2?
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.89K
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 8?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.67K
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 1?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.54K
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 23?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.37K
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 22?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.2K
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 4?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.01K
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 14?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.95K
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on March 24?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.88K
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on April 24?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.74K
Yes position
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - April 19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.74K
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 13?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.72K
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C or higher on April 16?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.55K
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.55K
Yes position
Will there be exactly 8 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - April 26?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.51K
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on April 5?
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.43K
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 18?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38K
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35K
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on March 23?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.32K
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C or higher on March 19?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.21K
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on April 19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.18K
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08K
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C or higher on March 26?
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02K
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on March 30?
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $966.61
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?Yes 0.3% 500 shares
- Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?Yes 0.1% 156 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 5?Yes 99.9% 60 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 31?No 99.9% 100 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 28?No 99.9% 6.53 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 28?No 99.9% 5 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 27?Yes 99.9% 255.91 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 21?Yes 0.1% 127.23 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 21?No 99.8% 421 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 20?No 99.9% 316.61 shares
- Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?Yes 98.2% 182 shares
- Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?Yes 97.8% 13.7 shares