Polymarket Trader

0xc7542FE6798844CA2C233133884ce4EfFAaAa2d0-1782320658267

0xc7542fe6798844ca2c233133884ce4effaaaa2d0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $17.32
Realized PnL: -$0.3
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 3
Closed positions: 2
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 22.8%
Current value: $9.1
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $30.9
Multiplier: 4.40x
User PnL: $2.82

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 36%
Current value: $7.2
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $12.8
Multiplier: 2.78x
User PnL: -$4.4

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $1.03
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $3.98
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$0.83

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 24.4%
Multiplier: 4.10x
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: -$0.35

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?

Yes 55% 10 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Yes 55% 5 shares
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?

No 16.4% 0.05 shares
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?

Yes 12% 35 shares
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?

Yes 12.1% 10 shares
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?

Yes 11.7% 10 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Yes 62% 5 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

Yes 37% 5 shares

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