Polymarket Trader

tianjiyuyunzhilu

0xc757850237e266d3b08d16b8455777a88590ccfc

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $67.94K
Realized PnL: $10.09K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $25.27K
Potential payout: $25.28K
Potential profit: $12.64
User PnL: $40.83

No position

Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $19.99K
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: $180.04

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $15.29K
Potential payout: $15.3K
Potential profit: $7.65
User PnL: $17.67

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $5.29K
Potential payout: $5.31K
Potential profit: $18.59
User PnL: $186.85

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.98K
Potential payout: $1.98K
Potential profit: $0.99
User PnL: $198.9

Under position

Parma Calcio 1913 vs. AS Roma: O/U 4.5

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $391.46
Potential profit: $391.46
User PnL: -$133.98

Under position

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 3.5

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $238
Potential profit: $238
User PnL: -$220.46

Yes position

Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-04?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $199.99
User PnL: -$183.59

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $118.61
Potential payout: $119.21
Potential profit: $0.6
User PnL: $0.6

Under position

FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$85

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.55K

No position

Lighter Airdrop on December 29?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.25K

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.09K

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $593.73

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $581.35

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $479.62

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $436.91

No position

Over $20M committed to the Gensyn public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $343.01

No position

US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $291.17

No position

US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $285.06

No position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $277.81

No position

US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $276.03

No position

New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday?

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $271.66

Yes position

Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $251.16

No position

EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $226.04

No position

US strikes Iran by February 4, 2026?

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $221.63

No position

Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $217.67

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $215.53

No position

US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $213.17

No position

US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $210.33

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $210

No position

Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $202.69

No position

US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $200.93

No position

US strikes Iran by January 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $200.69

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

No 97.9% 535.37 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

No 98.4% 1,205.71 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

No 98.3% 1,100 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

No 94.6% 1,938.18 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

No 94.2% 1,067.78 shares
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?

No 99.9% 982.71 shares
Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5

Under 99.6% 2,749.5 shares
Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5

Under 97.8% 548.87 shares
Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5

Under 87% 200 shares
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?

No 99.8% 2,399.99 shares
Will White House post 200+ posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 99.8% 5,578.95 shares
Will White House post 180-199 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

No 99.9% 11,584.9 shares