Polymarket Trader

projectparrot

0xc77bc7c12cff77cd80de2d3377ce22aec3a6a526

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $40.04
Realized PnL: $12.63K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.77K
Potential profit: $8.77K
User PnL: -$52.25

Yes position

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.21K
Potential profit: $7.21K
User PnL: -$37.31

Yes position

Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.63K
Potential profit: $3.63K
User PnL: -$28.81

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.31K
Potential profit: $3.31K
User PnL: -$6.62

Yes position

Netanyahu out by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.06K
Potential profit: $3.06K
User PnL: -$12.4

Yes position

Will Jasmine Crockett and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.89K
Potential profit: $2.89K
User PnL: -$138.82

Yes position

Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.13
Potential payout: $2.25K
Potential profit: $2.25K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$19.42

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.68K
Potential profit: $1.68K
User PnL: -$65.67

Yes position

Will SpaceX IPO by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.53K
Potential profit: $1.53K
User PnL: -$19.86

Yes position

Will Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.37K
Potential profit: $1.37K
User PnL: -$49.94

Yes position

Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $10
Potential payout: $1.33K
Potential profit: $1.32K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$11.36

Yes position

Will the Conservative Party win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.24K
Potential profit: $1.24K
User PnL: -$9.93

Yes position

Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.58
Potential payout: $1.17K
Potential profit: $1.17K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$13.44

Yes position

Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.15K
Potential profit: $1.15K
User PnL: -$29.3

No position

Will Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $7.8
Potential payout: $975.18
Potential profit: $967.38
Multiplier: 125.00x
User PnL: -$14.86

Yes position

Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 6-9%?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $966.93
Potential profit: $966.93
User PnL: -$29.8

No position

Will Reform UK win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $962.91
Potential profit: $962.91
User PnL: -$6.25

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $962.5
Potential profit: $962.5
User PnL: -$7.7

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $20.53
Potential payout: $912.37
Potential profit: $891.84
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: $5.04

Yes position

Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 17?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $912
Potential profit: $912
User PnL: -$10.03

Yes position

Starmer out by May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $887.1
Potential profit: $887.1
User PnL: -$8.43

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $879.32
Potential profit: $879.32
User PnL: -$241.36

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $802.64
Potential profit: $802.64
User PnL: -$483.21

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.7K

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.3K

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1K

Yes position

Will Trump say "Hell" 4+ times during Cabinet Meeting on December 2?

Ends Dec 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $788.66

No position

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $772.5

No position

US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $733.76

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $660.11

Yes position

US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $441.95

Yes position

US strikes Iraq by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $422.71

Yes position

Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $405.19

Yes position

Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 5% and 15% on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $392.26

No position

Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $380.4

Yes position

Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $373.73

Yes position

Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $359.13

No position

Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in Oman?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $316.86

No position

US announces military support of Iran opposition by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $303.99

Yes position

Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $296.39

No position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $291.74

No position

Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 28, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $291.47

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $288.15

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $285.59

No position

Will the DHS shutdown last 60 days or more?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $281.97

No position

Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $276.51

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $260.15

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will David Trone be the Democratic nominee for MD-06?

No 99.9% 9 shares
Will April McClain Delaney be the Democratic nominee for MD-06?

Yes 99.7% 5.01 shares
Will April McClain Delaney be the Democratic nominee for MD-06?

Yes 99.7% 5.01 shares
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 on June 23?

Yes 86.3% 40.35 shares
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 on June 23?

Yes 86.3% 40.35 shares
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 on June 23?

Yes 86.3% 40.35 shares
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 on June 23?

Yes 86.3% 6.2 shares
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 on June 23?

No 99.5% 5.02 shares
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $235 on June 23?

Yes 13% 46.77 shares
Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

No 23.7% 126.5 shares
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?

Yes 99.9% 17.33 shares
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?

Yes 97.9% 6.12 shares