No position
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.4%
- Current value
- $4.49
- Potential payout
- $39.41
- Potential profit
- $34.92
- Multiplier
- 8.77x
- User PnL
- $0.64
Polymarket Trader
0xc78E7ac24e96dC107Fb5938e3899Ad41FC36909d-1781984771020
0xc78e7ac24e96dc107fb5938e3899ad41fc36909d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.49
- Realized PnL
- -$4.42
- Win rate
- 42.9%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 14
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.79
- Potential profit
- $18.79
- User PnL
- -$2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.26
- Potential profit
- $5.26
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.7
- Potential profit
- $2.7
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.59
TDK position
Counter-Strike: TDK vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 Winner
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.55
No position
GPT-5.6 released by June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.23
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.12
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
Will GPT-6 be released by July 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$0.31
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.57
100 Thieves position
Counter-Strike: TDK vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 Winner
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.37
TDK position
Counter-Strike: TDK vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winner
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2.7
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?No 13.6% 20.89 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 26, 2026?No 95.5% 3.12 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 26, 2026?No 88% 3.13 shares
- Will GPT-6 be released by July 31, 2026?Yes 4% 17.14 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-22?Yes 91% 2.09 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?Yes 99.9% 1.92 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?Yes 69% 1.93 shares
- Counter-Strike: TDK vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 WinnerTDK 12% 10.81 shares
- Counter-Strike: TDK vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 WinnerTDK 37% 10.81 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:30AM-10:35AM ETDown 99% 1.01 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:30AM-10:35AM ETDown 99% 1.01 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:30AM-10:35AM ETDown 99% 1.01 shares