Polymarket Trader

MikeHockard

0xc7b59308c863478cd8fe6e0ed0372e4440c2ad74

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $40.43
Realized PnL: $46.27
Win rate: 72.7%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 11
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 50m?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Ernest Jones win the Super Bowl LX MVP?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $257.5
Potential profit: $257.5
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Nick Emmanwori win the Super Bowl LX MVP?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $254.6
Potential profit: $254.6
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.1%
Current value: $10.23
Potential payout: $169.04
Potential profit: $158.81
Multiplier: 16.53x
User PnL: $4.21

Yes position

Will Germany win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$7.7

Yes position

Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80.65
Potential profit: $80.65
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 75m?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $72.99
Potential profit: $72.99
User PnL: -$5.15

Yes position

Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $70
User PnL: -$43.9

Yes position

Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 65m and 70m?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.68
Potential profit: $66.68
User PnL: -$3.33

Yes position

Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 75m and 80m?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $64.37
Potential profit: $64.37
User PnL: -$10.4

Yes position

Will Arvell Reese be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $59.47
Potential profit: $59.47
User PnL: -$39.4

Yes position

Will Daniel Cameron be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $59.26
Potential profit: $59.26
User PnL: -$13

Yes position

Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 55m and 60m?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.51
Potential profit: $49.51
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 55m?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$0.81

Yes position

Will Drake Maye win the Super Bowl LX MVP?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.46
Potential profit: $38.46
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Andy Barr be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $30.2
Potential payout: $30.2
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $15.2

Yes position

Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$2.4

No position

Will Lady Gaga perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$4.8

Yes position

Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$5.4

Yes position

Will Tainy perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.63
Potential profit: $15.63
User PnL: -$2.5

Cavaliers position

Cavaliers vs. Lakers

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.01
Potential profit: $14.01
User PnL: -$4.9

Yes position

Will Francis Mauigoa be the third pick in the 2026 NFL draft?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $12
User PnL: -$2.84

No position

Will the Los Angeles Rams draft a quarterback in the first round of the 2026 NFL Draft?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.59
Potential profit: $11.59
User PnL: -$11

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Travis Scott perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.93

Yes position

Will Jaxon Smith-Njigba win the 2025–26 NFL OPOY?

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.75

No position

Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.27

No position

Will the Indianapolis Colts draft a quarterback in the first round of the 2026 NFL Draft?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.69

Cavaliers position

Cavaliers vs. Nuggets

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

No position

Will J Balvin perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.24

Yes position

Will Fernando Mendoza be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.16

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.67

Yes position

Will DeMarcus Lawrence win the Super Bowl LX MVP?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Devon Witherspoon win the Super Bowl LX MVP?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Arvell Reese be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1.43

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Arvell Reese be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?

Yes 47% 7.6 shares
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers draft a quarterback in the first round of the 2026 NFL Draft?

No 97.5% 5.25 shares
Will the Indianapolis Colts draft a quarterback in the first round of the 2026 NFL Draft?

No 98.9% 14.64 shares
Will the Los Angeles Rams draft a quarterback in the first round of the 2026 NFL Draft?

No 94.9% 11.59 shares
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers draft a quarterback in the first round of the 2026 NFL Draft?

No 81.2% 12.32 shares
Will David Bailey be the third pick in the 2026 NFL draft?

Yes 44% 11.36 shares
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?

Yes 3% 33.33 shares
Will Daniel Cameron be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?

Yes 21.9% 59.26 shares
Will Francis Mauigoa be the third pick in the 2026 NFL draft?

Yes 23.7% 12 shares
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?

No 98.3% 43 shares
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Yes 2.7% 37.04 shares
Will Arvell Reese be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?

Yes 76% 39.47 shares