Yes position
X banned in any European country by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $31.26
- Potential payout
- $160.32
- Potential profit
- $129.06
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$16.83
Polymarket Trader
Hook65
0xc7baf55cd0cdd74a1800690af1426b1145ba2b58
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $63.65
- Realized PnL
- -$38.93
- Win rate
- 64.7%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 17
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 23.3%
- Current value
- $8.77
- Potential payout
- $37.74
- Potential profit
- $28.96
- Multiplier
- 4.30x
- User PnL
- -$1.23
Yes position
Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $5.12
- Potential payout
- $29.24
- Potential profit
- $24.12
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$4.88
Yes position
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.14
- Potential payout
- $22
- Potential profit
- $21.86
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$0.87
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.23
- Potential profit
- $19.23
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
Ends Jun 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $1.25
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $8.75
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.35
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $9.05
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.95
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
X banned in any European country by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $8.05
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $1.95
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $0.35
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.49
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $3.28
Yes position
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 20?
Ends Nov 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.99
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.71
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11
No position
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
Yes position
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.83
No position
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Will Trump pardon Nicolas Maduro before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Trump pardon Himself before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.6%
- Multiplier
- 21.98x
- User PnL
- -$1.13
No position
Will Trump endorse an Israeli Ceasefire in Lebanon by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.9
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?
Ends Jan 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$11.6
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$26
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 89% 14.92 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 87% 10 shares
- Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by June 30, 2026?Yes 4.6% 5 shares
- Will Trump pardon Nicolas Maduro before 2027?No 91% 10 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No 98.4% 10.39 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 67% 14.93 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No 96.2% 10.4 shares
- Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?Yes 34.2% 29.24 shares
- European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?No 94% 10 shares
- Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?No 85.5% 10 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 26.5% 37.74 shares
- Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?No 89% 10 shares