Polymarket Trader

0xc7bf...cbef

0xc7bf63e70626f4fd936f76370a04541f3a11cbef

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $65.56
Realized PnL: $2.32K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Saeed Jalili be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $3.3
Potential payout: $1.32K
Potential profit: $1.32K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$6.7

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $692.5
Potential profit: $692.5
User PnL: -$27.7

Yes position

Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $2.39
Potential payout: $433.74
Potential profit: $431.36
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$7.61

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $325.64
Potential profit: $325.64
User PnL: -$127

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $304.43
Potential profit: $304.43
User PnL: -$190

Yes position

Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 3.0% and 4.0%?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $5.91
Potential payout: $295.66
Potential profit: $289.75
Multiplier: 50.00x
User PnL: -$14.09

Yes position

AI bubble burst in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $41.51
Potential payout: $213.43
Potential profit: $171.92
Multiplier: 5.14x
User PnL: -$8.49

Yes position

Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.59
Potential payout: $167.66
Potential profit: $167.08
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$0.41

Yes position

Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.55
Potential payout: $123.13
Potential profit: $122.57
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$0.45

Yes position

Will Sadegh Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.29
Potential payout: $116.28
Potential profit: $115.99
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$4.71

Yes position

USD1 depeg by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 8%
Current value: $8.37
Potential payout: $104.63
Potential profit: $96.26
Multiplier: 12.50x
User PnL: -$21.63

Yes position

Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $1.19
Potential payout: $103.11
Potential profit: $101.92
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$3.81

Yes position

Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.19
Potential payout: $77.09
Potential profit: $76.9
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$2.51

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $61.92
Potential profit: $61.92
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Negative GDP growth in 2026?

Ends Jan 29, 2027

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $1.27
Potential payout: $21.1
Potential profit: $19.84
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: -$2.24

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.38K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $272.1

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $136.25

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.07

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.45

Yes position

US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.12

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.49

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.89

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.72

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $25

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.99

Yes position

Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 39.2%
Multiplier: 2.55x
User PnL: $20.21

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $19.72

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.41

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.36

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.86

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $15.83

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.17

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 82.8%
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $12.4

Yes position

Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.79

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.77

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.73

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.23

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 4% 692.5 shares
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Yes 37.2% 81.2 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Yes 32.3% 61.92 shares
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Yes 86% 21.92 shares
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Yes 15% 99.52 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

No 39% 325.64 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 67% 149.25 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

No 86% 274.71 shares
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Yes 21% 99.52 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June?

Yes 69% 29.17 shares
Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Yes 3.5% 77.09 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 58% 155.17 shares