No position
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $233.33
- Potential payout
- $1.73K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$166.67
Polymarket Trader
0xc7C69652FcE50f1d09c53D3d8D51375F1b911434-1763920952395
0xc7c69652fce50f1d09c53d3d8d51375f1b911434
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $557.95
- Realized PnL
- -$1.23K
- Win rate
- 38.9%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 18
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 9.9%
- Current value
- $99
- Potential payout
- $999.99
- Potential profit
- $900.99
- Multiplier
- 10.10x
- User PnL
- -$101
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $555.56
- Potential profit
- $555.56
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $225.62
- Potential payout
- $372.93
- Potential profit
- $147.31
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- $125.62
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.33K
No position
ChatGPT Outage by March 15?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.55K
Yes position
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.43x
- User PnL
- $804.87
No position
Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriffs by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $284.56
Yes position
Government shutdown on Saturday?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $282.06
No position
U.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $212.07
No position
Government shutdown on Saturday?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.47
No position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $180 on March 16?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$36.11
Yes position
Will the government shutdown last 30 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$41.1
No position
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$49.88
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$56.73
Yes position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $185 on March 16?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will the government shutdown last 60 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$221
Yes position
Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$474.36
Yes position
Will the government shutdown last 30 days or more?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$490
Yes position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$500
No position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.73K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?Yes 8% 1,250 shares
- US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?Yes 7% 1,428.57 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?No 18% 555.56 shares
- US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?Yes 23% 434.78 shares
- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?No 23% 434.95 shares
- Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?No 26.8% 372.93 shares
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $180 on March 16?No 3.2% 314.29 shares
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $185 on March 16?Yes 8% 1,251.06 shares
- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?No 23.2% 1,293.42 shares
- US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?Yes 39% 512.82 shares
- ChatGPT Outage by March 15?No 89.6% 750 shares
- Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?No 4.4% 1,133.64 shares