Polymarket Trader

LiquidatedDegen

@liquidatedxxx

0xc7e53ac4a7c76d6df8b794de2e7d0794265d2d3a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $47.23K
Realized PnL: $197.5K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $781.25
Potential payout: $312.5K
Potential profit: $311.72K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$718.44

Yes position

Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $62.5
Potential payout: $125K
Potential profit: $124.94K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$187.5

Yes position

Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $687.5
Potential payout: $125K
Potential profit: $124.31K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: $187.5

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $2.25K
Potential payout: $99.98K
Potential profit: $97.73K
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: $780.35

Yes position

Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $291.67
Potential payout: $83.33K
Potential profit: $83.04K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: $41.75

Yes position

Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76.15K
Potential profit: $76.15K
User PnL: -$6.09K

Yes position

Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58.51K
Potential profit: $58.51K
User PnL: -$4.98K

Yes position

Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.9%
Current value: $1.43K
Potential payout: $50.18K
Potential profit: $48.75K
Multiplier: 35.09x
User PnL: $414.68

Yes position

Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Ends Mar 31, 2027

Implied probability: 3.8%
Current value: $1.56K
Potential payout: $40.96K
Potential profit: $39.4K
Multiplier: 26.32x
User PnL: -$258.62

No position

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $35.06K
Potential payout: $40.07K
Potential profit: $5.01K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $9.44K

Yes position

Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $699.79
Potential payout: $39.99K
Potential profit: $39.29K
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: -$715.47

Yes position

Will Arkansas win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.59K
Potential profit: $32.59K
User PnL: -$521.42

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $458.33
Potential payout: $27.78K
Potential profit: $27.32K
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$41.64

No position

Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.18K
Potential profit: $27.18K
User PnL: -$2.17K

Yes position

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $2.61K
Potential payout: $26.28K
Potential profit: $23.66K
Multiplier: 10.05x
User PnL: $334.71

No position

Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.22K
Potential profit: $23.22K
User PnL: -$1.66K

Alabama position

Alabama vs. Indiana

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.06K
Potential profit: $21.06K
User PnL: -$4.35K

Yes position

Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $156.13
Potential payout: $20.82K
Potential profit: $20.66K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $10.41

Yes position

Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.5K
Potential profit: $20.5K
User PnL: -$2.46K

Yes position

Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.15K
Potential profit: $20.15K
User PnL: -$1K

Yes position

Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 3.2%
Current value: $630
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $19.37K
Multiplier: 31.75x
User PnL: -$30

No position

Will BLɅϽKPIИK release an album by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67K
Potential profit: $16.67K
User PnL: -$50

No position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.53K
Potential profit: $15.53K
User PnL: -$3.93K

Yes position

Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Ends Mar 31, 2027

Implied probability: 3.7%
Current value: $550.41
Potential payout: $15.08K
Potential profit: $14.53K
Multiplier: 27.40x
User PnL: $82.74

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the government shutdown end November 13?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.26K

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.08K

No position

Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.32K

Ole Miss position

Ole Miss vs. Georgia

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.57K

Yes position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.5K

Yes position

Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-01-20?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.03K

Yes position

Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-10-25?

Ends Oct 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.82K

No position

Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.61K

Yes position

Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.18K

No position

Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.2K

No position

Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Oct 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.18K

No position

Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.5K

Yes position

Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.36K

Yes position

Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.26K

Texas A&M Aggies position

Texas A&M Aggies vs. LSU Tigers

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.85K

Sharks position

Sharks vs. Kings

Ends Jan 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.52K

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.02K

UNLV Runnin Rebels position

UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. Boise State Broncos

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.73K

Yes position

Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-18?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.59K

Yes position

Will Burnley FC win on 2025-10-26?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.35K

Patriots position

Patriots vs. Ravens

Ends Dec 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.29K

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.2K

Yes position

Maduro out by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.19K

Yes position

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 88.6%
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $2.89K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationals

Washington Nationals 12% 500 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

No 40% 500 shares
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 0 DR Congo?

Yes 14% 357.14 shares
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 13.5% 3,572.19 shares
Cleveland Guardians vs. Milwaukee Brewers

Cleveland Guardians 47% 265.96 shares
Chicago White Sox vs. New York Yankees

Chicago White Sox 38% 328.95 shares
San Diego Padres vs. St. Louis Cardinals

San Diego Padres 46% 271.74 shares
Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astros

Detroit Tigers 50% 250 shares
Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies

Miami Marlins 48% 260.42 shares
Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationals

Washington Nationals 56% 223.21 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?

Yes 23.1% 9,571.71 shares
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 16.6% 3,572.19 shares