Polymarket Trader

MarkusLaing

0xc7eb4b6b25159f7038b1e21c63082363e5dbd0b8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $85.82
Realized PnL: $64.75
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $18.79
Potential payout: $34.48
Potential profit: $15.69
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: $8.79

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 40%
Current value: $7.53
Potential payout: $18.83
Potential profit: $11.3
Multiplier: 2.50x
User PnL: -$2.47

No position

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.6%
Current value: $1.52
Potential payout: $15.79
Potential profit: $14.27
Multiplier: 10.42x
User PnL: -$1.48

Yes position

Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1200?

Ends Mar 31, 2027

Implied probability: 53%
Current value: $7.36
Potential payout: $13.89
Potential profit: $6.53
Multiplier: 1.89x
User PnL: $2.36

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 97.9%
Current value: $12.15
Potential payout: $12.41
Potential profit: $0.26
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $5.15

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $4.27
Potential payout: $10.81
Potential profit: $6.54
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: $0.27

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $4.99
Potential payout: $9.33
Potential profit: $4.34
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $5.31
Potential payout: $8.93
Potential profit: $3.62
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: $0.31

Yes position

Will France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $7.84
Potential payout: $8.47
Potential profit: $0.64
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $2.84

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.6%
Current value: $1.67
Potential payout: $8.13
Potential profit: $6.46
Multiplier: 4.87x
User PnL: -$0.33

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $4.51
Potential payout: $7.46
Potential profit: $2.95
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: -$0.49

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.49
Potential profit: $6.49
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by July 19?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $1.1
Potential payout: $5.95
Potential profit: $4.85
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$3.9

Khololwam Montsi position

Centurion: Calvin Hemery vs Khololwam Montsi

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.56
Potential profit: $5.56
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.76
Potential profit: $4.76
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.69
Potential profit: $4.69
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $1.98
Potential payout: $4.55
Potential profit: $2.57
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.35
Potential profit: $4.35
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg?

Ends Nov 5, 2026

Implied probability: 67%
Current value: $2.64
Potential payout: $3.95
Potential profit: $1.3
Multiplier: 1.49x
User PnL: -$0.36

South Africa position

ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs South Africa

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.78
Potential profit: $2.78
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $2.39
Potential payout: $2.67
Potential profit: $0.28
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $0.39

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.63
Potential profit: $2.63
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 24, 2026?

Ends Jul 24, 2026

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $1.77
Potential payout: $2.44
Potential profit: $0.67
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: -$0.23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.44
Potential profit: $2.44
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.41

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.98

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.52

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.51

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.14

Yes position

Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.98

No position

Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.31

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.13

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.96

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.88

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.66

Up position

Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.57

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.36

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.17

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.08

Yes position

Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.94

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.84

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.57

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.51

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 10°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.44

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33

Yes position

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.23

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.19

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.04

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?

Yes 44% 4.55 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?

Yes 54% 5.56 shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?

Yes 57% 5.26 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?

Yes 53% 3.77 shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?

Yes 56% 3.57 shares
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?

Yes 69% 2.9 shares
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on July 3?

Yes 60% 3.33 shares
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 10°C on July 3?

Yes 41% 2.44 shares
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on July 3?

Yes 64% 4.69 shares
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on July 3?

Yes 53% 5.66 shares
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 3?

Yes 77% 6.49 shares
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?

Yes 21% 6.45 shares