Polymarket Trader

acuellarF

0xc7fbc818c08e6984542749d351e73578038f8eb0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.89K
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $80.85
Potential payout: $330
Potential profit: $249.15
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: -$1.65

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $169.6
Potential payout: $280.33
Potential profit: $110.73
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: -$1.4

Yes position

Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $149.01
Potential payout: $197.37
Potential profit: $48.36
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: -$0.99

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $45.75
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $104.25
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: -$0.75

Yes position

Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 68%
Current value: $99.49
Potential payout: $146.3
Potential profit: $46.82
Multiplier: 1.47x
User PnL: -$0.51

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $99.3
Potential payout: $140.85
Potential profit: $41.55
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: -$0.7

Yes position

Will the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?

Ends Jun 6, 2027

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $91.39
Potential payout: $120.98
Potential profit: $29.59
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: -$8.61

No position

Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Ends Mar 31, 2027

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $98.21
Potential payout: $119.05
Potential profit: $20.83
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: -$1.79

No position

Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $99.46
Potential payout: $108.7
Potential profit: $9.24
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: -$0.54

Yes position

Will Morgan Stanley (MS) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 97.4%
Current value: $105.7
Potential payout: $108.52
Potential profit: $2.82
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $5.7

No position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $86.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $13.5
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $1.5

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-07-04?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $82.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $17.5
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: -$1.5

No position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $92.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $7.5
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0.5

No position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $89.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $10.5
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: -$0.5

No position

AI bubble burst in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.2%
Current value: $84.19
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $15.8
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: -$0.7

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $50.42
Potential payout: $84.75
Potential profit: $34.32
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: $0.42

Yes position

Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 86%
Current value: $69.67
Potential payout: $81.01
Potential profit: $11.34
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $7.53

No position

Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $3.00 and $4.00 on July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93%
Current value: $62.64
Potential payout: $67.36
Potential profit: $4.72
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0.67

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 76%
Current value: $50.5
Potential payout: $66.45
Potential profit: $15.95
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $110B by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $50.32
Potential payout: $64.94
Potential profit: $14.61
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $0.32

No position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $42.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $7.25
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: -$0.75

No position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $36.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $13.75
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: -$0.75

No position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $28.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $21.25
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 41.1%
Current value: $20.53
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $29.48
Multiplier: 2.44x
User PnL: -$3.13

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?

Yes 85% 25 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?

No 61% 100 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?

Yes 25% 50 shares
England-Mexico game rescheduled to different time?

No 83% 50 shares
Will Trump cut long term capital gains tax before 2027?

No 81% 6.98 shares
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?

No 84% 9.62 shares
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $210 in July?

Yes 61% 10 shares
Will USD/JPY hit 150 (Low) in 2026?

No 62% 5 shares
Will Morgan Stanley (MS) beat quarterly earnings?

Yes 92.1% 108.52 shares
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $110B by December 31?

Yes 77% 64.94 shares
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?

Yes 76% 197.37 shares
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?

No 74% 50 shares