Polymarket Trader

pandamann

0xc80920aa7aaca0e18922aa1efe3609de7a4c14dd

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.55K
Realized PnL: -$205.1
Win rate: 73.7%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 19
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $2.12K
Potential payout: $2.97K
Potential profit: $846.26
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $123.08

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$186.3

Yes position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $196.53
Potential payout: $241.29
Potential profit: $44.76
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $31.53

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96%
Current value: $115.11
Potential payout: $119.97
Potential profit: $4.86
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $15.11

Los Angeles Angels position

Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $111.11
User PnL: -$100

No position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $108.7
Potential profit: $108.7
User PnL: -$75

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $92.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $7.5
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $10.5

Anyones Legend position

LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $59.71
Potential profit: $59.71
User PnL: -$35

Yes position

Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $21.18
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $13.83
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: -$1.23

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Matteo Arnaldi position

Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.99

No position

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.26

No position

Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.84

No position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9

Karmine Corp position

LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffs

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.82

Flavio Cobolli position

Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Zachary Svajda

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.53

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.26

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.35

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.8

Yes position

Will Trump say "Obliterated" or "Obliteration" during Address to the Nation?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.95

Yes position

Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" 3+ times during Address to the Nation?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.65

Yes position

Will Trump say "Operation Epic Fury" during Address to the Nation?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.48

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$5.33

Yes position

Will Trump say "Ceasefire" or "Peace Deal" during Address to the Nation?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$8

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$297.2

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Yes 68.7% 145.56 shares
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels

Los Angeles Angels 90% 111.11 shares
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi

Matteo Arnaldi 73% 136.99 shares
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Yes 64% 35 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 82% 100 shares
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs

Anyones Legend 33% 30.3 shares
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffs

Karmine Corp 85% 58.82 shares
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Zachary Svajda

Flavio Cobolli 93% 107.53 shares
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs

Anyones Legend 85% 29.41 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

No 89% 561.76 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Yes 67.4% 2,969.34 shares
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Yes 67.9% 95.73 shares