Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $5.16
- Potential payout
- $68.78
- Potential profit
- $63.62
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.03
Polymarket Trader
0xc812c292b470405767a849572e560edf67d4cb56
0xc812c292b470405767a849572e560edf67d4cb56
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $53.07
- Realized PnL
- $218.94
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Zohran Mamdani by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $5.59
- Potential payout
- $58.82
- Potential profit
- $53.24
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$4.41
No position
Will the Democrats win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $2.32
- Potential payout
- $42.25
- Potential profit
- $39.92
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$1.7
Yes position
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $41.51
- Potential profit
- $41.51
- User PnL
- -$15
No position
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $2.66
- Potential payout
- $40.91
- Potential profit
- $38.25
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$1.31
No position
Will the Republicans win the Kentucky Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 6.3%
- Current value
- $2.53
- Potential payout
- $40.1
- Potential profit
- $37.57
- Multiplier
- 15.87x
- User PnL
- -$1.48
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 2.9%
- Current value
- $0.61
- Potential payout
- $21.18
- Potential profit
- $20.57
- Multiplier
- 34.48x
- User PnL
- -$1.72
Yes position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.12
- Potential payout
- $17.76
- Potential profit
- $17.65
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$2.9
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $15.37
- Potential payout
- $16.99
- Potential profit
- $1.61
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $1.44
No position
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $14.1
- Potential payout
- $16.3
- Potential profit
- $2.2
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$0.9
No position
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $4.61
- Potential payout
- $5.15
- Potential profit
- $0.54
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.28
Hamad Medjedovic position
Barcelona Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hamad Medjedovic
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.83
Y
Yes position
Real Madrid CF leading at halftime?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.41
Over position
Everton FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.62
Lotte Giants position
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. LG Twins
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.98
San-Hui Shin position
Wuning 2: Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong vs San-Hui Shin
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.6
Tatjana Maria position
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Tatjana Maria vs Elsa Jacquemot
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.72
Club Atlético de Madrid position
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.1
Moerani Bouzige position
Wuning 2: Masamichi Imamura vs Moerani Bouzige
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.73
Southampton FC position
Spread: Southampton FC (-1.5)
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.72
Max Houkes position
Oeiras 3: Max Houkes vs Dusan Lajovic
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.61
Yes position
Will FC Seoul win on 2026-03-07?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.02
Yes position
Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-01-04?
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.7
Nuno Borges position
Barcelona Open: Nuno Borges vs Tomas Etcheverry
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.05
Ben Shelton position
BMW Open: Alexander Blockx vs Ben Shelton
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.35
No position
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-14?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.33
Under position
Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.67
Under position
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 3.5
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.31
Yes position
Ulsan HD FC vs. FC Seoul: Both Teams to Score
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.23
Flyers position
Canadiens vs. Flyers
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.21
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.15
No position
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-15?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.13
Ryan Dickerson position
Santa Cruz: Ryan Dickerson vs Carlos Maria Zarate
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.74
Pedro Boscardin Dias position
Tallahassee: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.45
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:45PM-12:50PM ETDown 13% 16.04 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:45PM-12:50PM ETDown 11% 29.41 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:45PM-12:50PM ETDown 11% 45.45 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ETUp 97% 9.43 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ETUp 53% 9.43 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ETUp 1% 500 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Zohran Mamdani by June 30, 2026?Yes 17% 58.82 shares
- Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?Yes 36.1% 41.51 shares
- Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?Yes 95.1% 8.33 shares
- Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?Yes 83.9% 34.8 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on April 20?Yes 6% 19.85 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on April 20?Yes 10% 32.57 shares