fnasato

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $484.65
Potential profit: $484.65
User PnL: -$4.85

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $484.65
Potential profit: $484.65
User PnL: -$4.85

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $4.52
Potential payout: $334.87
Potential profit: $330.34
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$1.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.37
Potential payout: $123.51
Potential profit: $123.14
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$2.37

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 2.9%
Current value: $2.56
Potential payout: $88.19
Potential profit: $85.63
Multiplier: 34.48x
User PnL: -$2.67

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $83.53
Potential profit: $83.49
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$7.72

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $3.33
Potential payout: $47.62
Potential profit: $44.29
Multiplier: 14.29x
User PnL: -$2.47

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 26%
Current value: $9.9
Potential payout: $38.1
Potential profit: $28.19
Multiplier: 3.85x
User PnL: $2.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $1.15
Potential payout: $37.62
Potential profit: $36.47
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: -$3.37

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $1.44
Potential payout: $24
Potential profit: $22.56
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: -$1.68

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $5.35
Potential payout: $20.2
Potential profit: $14.85
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: $0.51

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 54%
Current value: $10.56
Potential payout: $19.55
Potential profit: $8.99
Multiplier: 1.85x
User PnL: -$0.78

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 66.4%
Current value: $10.08
Potential payout: $15.18
Potential profit: $5.1
Multiplier: 1.51x
User PnL: -$0.7

Up position

Solana Up or Down - March 30, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.92
Potential profit: $14.92
User PnL: -$4.77

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $8.24
Potential payout: $13.39
Potential profit: $5.16
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: $0.07

Up position

Hyperliquid Up or Down - March 30, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.89
Potential profit: $12.89
User PnL: -$4.77

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 32°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 20%
Current value: $2.56
Potential payout: $12.82
Potential profit: $10.25
Multiplier: 5.00x
User PnL: -$0.19

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 60%
Current value: $7.23
Potential payout: $12.05
Potential profit: $4.82
Multiplier: 1.67x
User PnL: -$2.29

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 98.3%
Current value: $10.69
Potential payout: $10.88
Potential profit: $0.19
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $1.65

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 63%
Current value: $6.69
Potential payout: $10.62
Potential profit: $3.93
Multiplier: 1.59x
User PnL: -$1.91

No position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $4.35
Potential payout: $9.77
Potential profit: $5.42
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: -$0.24

No position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $5.46
Potential payout: $9.5
Potential profit: $4.04
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: -$0.05

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $8.16
Potential payout: $9.32
Potential profit: $1.17
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $1.16

No position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $6.07
Potential payout: $8.99
Potential profit: $2.92
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: -$0.04

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

XRP Up or Down - March 29, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.55

Up position

Solana Up or Down - March 29, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.85

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.37

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 30, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.23

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 29, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.85

Up position

Solana Up or Down - April 3, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.77

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.15

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 30, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

Up position

Dogecoin Up or Down - April 4, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.83

Down position

BNB Up or Down - March 29, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.63

Up position

XRP Up or Down - March 30, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.5

Up position

XRP Up or Down - March 30, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.48

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 6, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.47

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.45

Down position

Solana Up or Down - April 6, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.38

Down position

Solana Up or Down - March 30, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.36

Up position

XRP Up or Down - March 30, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.25

Down position

Dogecoin Up or Down - April 3, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

Up position

Dogecoin Up or Down - March 29, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

Up position

Solana Up or Down - March 30, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

Up position

Dogecoin Up or Down - March 29, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

Down position

BNB Up or Down - March 29, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.07

Down position

Solana Up or Down - March 29, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET