No position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $119.31
- Potential payout
- $211.2
- Potential profit
- $91.89
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $9.33
Polymarket Trader
steverichie
0xc83872136e4e75adeae3204ddc5f3d1ee6161263
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $879.1
- Realized PnL
- $593.88
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $78.18
- Potential payout
- $175.68
- Potential profit
- $97.5
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- $7.21
No position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $86.45
- Potential payout
- $145.3
- Potential profit
- $58.85
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- -$8.47
No position
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 62%
- Current value
- $68.67
- Potential payout
- $110.84
- Potential profit
- $42.17
- Multiplier
- 1.61x
- User PnL
- -$8.28
No position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $67.46
- Potential payout
- $77.99
- Potential profit
- $10.53
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $10.15
No position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.8%
- Current value
- $58.43
- Potential payout
- $75.15
- Potential profit
- $16.72
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $12.21
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $11.4
- Potential payout
- $73.55
- Potential profit
- $62.15
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$8.59
No position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $26.23
- Potential payout
- $68.12
- Potential profit
- $41.89
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- -$13.76
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.2%
- Current value
- $55.61
- Potential payout
- $65.27
- Potential profit
- $9.66
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $5.65
No position
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $63.19
- Potential payout
- $63.73
- Potential profit
- $0.54
- User PnL
- $33.13
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79%
- Current value
- $38.62
- Potential payout
- $48.92
- Potential profit
- $10.3
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $18.7
No position
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $1.61
- Potential payout
- $45.95
- Potential profit
- $44.34
- Multiplier
- 28.57x
- User PnL
- -$28.24
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $36.02
- Potential payout
- $38.94
- Potential profit
- $2.92
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $16.03
Yes position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.3%
- Current value
- $8.65
- Potential payout
- $38.89
- Potential profit
- $30.24
- Multiplier
- 4.49x
- User PnL
- -$2.55
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $2.09
- Potential payout
- $32.18
- Potential profit
- $30.09
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$9.9
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $25.91
- Potential payout
- $29.28
- Potential profit
- $3.37
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $5.99
No position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $25.88
- Potential payout
- $28.92
- Potential profit
- $3.04
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $4.99
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $21.94
- Potential payout
- $25.96
- Potential profit
- $4.02
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $1.96
Yes position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $2.47
- Potential payout
- $23.52
- Potential profit
- $21.05
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$5.53
No position
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $19.86
- Potential payout
- $22.7
- Potential profit
- $2.84
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $4.96
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $21.75
- Potential payout
- $21.96
- Potential profit
- $0.22
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $6.76
No position
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.1%
- Current value
- $12.95
- Potential payout
- $21.93
- Potential profit
- $8.98
- Multiplier
- 1.69x
- User PnL
- -$2.04
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Current value
- $14.1
- Potential payout
- $21.2
- Potential profit
- $7.1
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- $2.21
No position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $12.33
- Potential payout
- $20.38
- Potential profit
- $8.05
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- $2.34
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.71
No position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.78
No position
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.37
No position
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.49
No position
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.21
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.7
No position
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.28
No position
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.25
No position
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.08
No position
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.85
No position
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.26
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.95
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.38
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.78
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.8
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.03
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.4
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.4
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.66
No position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.47
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.12
No position
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.96
No position
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.53
No position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.42
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No 46% 10.86 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes 63% 7.93 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?No 63% 5 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 70% 7.14 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes 74% 6.75 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?No 79% 6.32 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?No 68.9% 7.01 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?No 76% 6.57 shares
- Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?No 64.8% 0.86 shares
- Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?No 50% 10 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 71% 7.04 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 59% 8.33 shares