No position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $6.66
- Potential payout
- $6.67
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.66
Polymarket Trader
0xc840...3799
0xc8401dc4d2b838b8f9fcf88c3c0ac24a20733799
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $12.1
- Realized PnL
- $2.07
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 41%
- Current value
- $1.98
- Potential payout
- $4.84
- Potential profit
- $2.85
- Multiplier
- 2.44x
- User PnL
- -$1.02
No position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $3.45
- Potential payout
- $3.45
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.45
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $3.6
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Multiplier
- 31.25x
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 48%
- Multiplier
- 2.08x
- User PnL
- -$1.7
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 15?No 23% 5.66 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on July 15?No 86.9% 3.45 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 15?Yes 62% 4.84 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 15?No 53% 5.66 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 15?No 85% 0.9 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 15?No 85% 0.9 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 15?No 86% 1.8 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 15?Yes 39% 12 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 15?Yes 25% 12 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 15?No 83% 3.61 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 15?Yes 2.1% 51.49 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 15?Yes 42.7% 11.53 shares