Yes position
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 55 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $18.36
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $1.09K
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$1.64
Polymarket Trader
0xc84c...2092
0xc84cdba2b9e702a33492c5f15bbd3dbe93fa2092
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $261.99
- Realized PnL
- $153.2
- Win rate
- 85.7%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19%
- Current value
- $107.11
- Potential payout
- $563.73
- Potential profit
- $456.62
- Multiplier
- 5.26x
- User PnL
- $22.55
Yes position
Will Kai Havertz be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.36
- Potential payout
- $239.61
- Potential profit
- $239.25
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$19
Yes position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $58.5
- Potential payout
- $238.76
- Potential profit
- $180.26
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- -$1.19
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.9%
- Current value
- $5.3
- Potential payout
- $90.56
- Potential profit
- $85.26
- Multiplier
- 17.09x
- User PnL
- -$4.39
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $7.94
- Potential payout
- $69.08
- Potential profit
- $61.14
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$16.93
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50.38
- Potential profit
- $50.38
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $3.27
- Potential payout
- $43.63
- Potential profit
- $40.36
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$21.6
Yes position
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5%
- Current value
- $2.09
- Potential payout
- $41.75
- Potential profit
- $39.66
- Multiplier
- 20.00x
- User PnL
- -$7.63
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 67%
- Current value
- $20.1
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $9.9
- Multiplier
- 1.49x
- User PnL
- $10.4
No position
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Current value
- $20.25
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $9.75
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- $4.05
Yes position
Hyperliquid listed on Binance in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $5.15
- Potential payout
- $29.41
- Potential profit
- $24.26
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$4.85
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Current value
- $7.81
- Potential payout
- $20.83
- Potential profit
- $13.02
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- -$2.19
Yes position
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.4%
- Current value
- $5.76
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $9.24
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- -$0.24
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.33
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $39.29
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.62
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.75
Yes position
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.06
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.16
Yes position
Bukayo Saka: Anytime Goalscorer
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$12
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Yes 25% 139.28 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Yes 25% 99.48 shares
- Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 57% 43.63 shares
- Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 40% 15 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes 15% 232.13 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes 15% 165.8 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes 15% 165.8 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 33% 10 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 33% 10 shares
- Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 23.3% 41.75 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 36% 69.08 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 10.7% 90.56 shares