Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $579.29K
- Potential payout
- $580.16K
- Potential profit
- $870.24
- User PnL
- $340.11K
Polymarket Trader
BrightStars
0xc84f7e76ec28ef20e7773b7b4926bfb7378be0c5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.07M
- Realized PnL
- $310.7K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $291.97K
- Potential profit
- $291.97K
- User PnL
- -$22.76K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $204.79K
- Potential payout
- $205.1K
- Potential profit
- $307.65
- User PnL
- $166.39K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $194.52K
- Potential profit
- $194.52K
- User PnL
- -$7.98K
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 16.2%
- Current value
- $24.23K
- Potential payout
- $150K
- Potential profit
- $125.78K
- Multiplier
- 6.19x
- User PnL
- -$50.78K
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 83.9%
- Current value
- $125.78K
- Potential payout
- $150K
- Potential profit
- $24.23K
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $50.78K
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $131.58K
- Potential profit
- $131.58K
- User PnL
- -$8.89K
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $69.65K
- Potential profit
- $69.65K
- User PnL
- -$6.5K
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $62K
- Potential profit
- $62K
- User PnL
- -$73.97
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $61.28K
- Potential profit
- $61.28K
- User PnL
- -$7.97K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $61.02K
- Potential profit
- $61.02K
- User PnL
- -$16.81K
Y
Yes position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $55.46K
- Potential payout
- $55.55K
- Potential profit
- $83.32
- User PnL
- $72.38
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $46.09K
- Potential profit
- $46.09K
- User PnL
- -$4.37K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $43K
- Potential profit
- $43K
- User PnL
- -$242.95
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $33.15K
- Potential payout
- $33.33K
- Potential profit
- $183.33
- User PnL
- $30.77
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.4K
- Potential profit
- $32.4K
- User PnL
- -$2.17K
No position
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Current value
- $28.13K
- Potential payout
- $29.12K
- Potential profit
- $990.24
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $581.33
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $220.45
- Potential payout
- $24.49K
- Potential profit
- $24.27K
- Multiplier
- 111.11x
- User PnL
- -$2.89K
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 46%
- Current value
- $8.54K
- Potential payout
- $18.56K
- Potential profit
- $10.02K
- Multiplier
- 2.17x
- User PnL
- $2.18K
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.03K
- Potential profit
- $17.03K
- User PnL
- -$528.5
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $6.78K
- Potential payout
- $12K
- Potential profit
- $5.22K
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $2.45K
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $2.09K
- Potential payout
- $11.93K
- Potential profit
- $9.84K
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$407.71
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.75K
- Potential profit
- $11.75K
- User PnL
- -$306.93
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.78K
- Potential profit
- $7.78K
- User PnL
- -$202.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.7K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.3K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.81K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.49K
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $30.13K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.91K
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.25K
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.16K
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.15K
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.27K
Yes position
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.99K
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.44K
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.91K
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.77K
No position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- $3.12K
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.07K
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.06K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.88K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.59K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.49K
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.24K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $1.75K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.65K
Yes position
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.57K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?Yes 0.7% 16,731.44 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 35.9% 6,666 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 33.2% 11,111 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 93.7% 1,500 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 93.6% 2,400.15 shares
- US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.8% 11,111 shares
- US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.7% 232.37 shares
- Will Ali Larijani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?No 99.9% 8,090 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?Yes 1.1% 32,515.97 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 99.4% 33,333 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes 99.8% 33,333 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes 99.7% 124.68 shares