No position
Blue wave in 2026?
Ends Nov 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 27%
- Current value
- $32.4
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $87.6
- Multiplier
- 3.70x
- User PnL
- $1.2
Polymarket Trader
bab3
@bbab3369
0xc84fea5f86bdc1df1282ae3a7e1f17d1d08116e9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $295.85
- Realized PnL
- $489.24
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$48
Yes position
Will Mahmoud Khalil be arrested before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $14.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $85.5
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$29.5
Yes position
Will Trump say "Reasonable" during CNBC: Squawk Box appearance on April 21?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $79.99
- Potential profit
- $79.99
- User PnL
- -$33.6
No position
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $60
- User PnL
- -$26.4
No position
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on May 5?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Yes position
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $31.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $18.25
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- -$3.75
Down position
Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on May 5?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$20.5
Yes position
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.8%
- Current value
- $44.88
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $5.13
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $21.28
Yes position
Will Australia win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$25.5
No position
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $420 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$22.5
No position
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $50
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $12.2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $49.99
- Potential profit
- $49.99
- User PnL
- -$21
Down position
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $48.08
- Potential profit
- $48.08
- User PnL
- -$23.08
Yes position
AWS service disrupted by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $2.34
- Potential payout
- $42.59
- Potential profit
- $40.25
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$17.25
No position
Will Russia enter Riasne by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$30.8
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $36.4
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $3.6
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $1.2
Yes position
FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $40
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $6.8
No position
FDA approves Sanofi's Dupixent?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $39.99
- Potential profit
- $39.99
- User PnL
- -$20.79
Yes position
Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $26.55
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $3.45
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $5.85
Yes position
Will MrBeast's video get between 62 and 64 million views on day 3?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$11.4
No position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.2%
- Current value
- $17.03
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $2.97
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.57
Yes position
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$13
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Spirit win PGL Astana 2026?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67
No position
Ethereum above $4300 on September 5?
Ends Sep 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.16
Up position
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 5?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31
No position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on May 5?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.5
Cowboys position
Cowboys vs. Raiders
Ends Nov 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.11
No position
US strike on Mexico by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $28
No position
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $68 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26
No position
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $70 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.5
Yes position
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $24.73
No position
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $580 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.5
Up position
Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on May 5?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19
No position
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18
Yes position
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the March Meeting?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.6
Yes position
Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.79
Yes position
Will West Ham win on 2025-05-11?
Ends May 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.52
Down position
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on May 5?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.5
No position
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 32m?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.44
Yes position
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-02-22?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8
No position
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.6
No position
Will the Liberal Democrats win at least 900 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.4
Seidel position
Guangzhou Open: Ella Seidel vs Yulia Putintseva
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.32
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the second highest estimated revenue for May 11–May 17, 2026?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.5
Yes position
Will Atlas FC win on 2025-10-03?
Ends Oct 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.05
Raptors position
Raptors vs. Kings
Ends Oct 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.03
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?No 89% 100 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on May 5?No 5% 50 shares
- US strike on Mexico by December 31?No 86% 200 shares
- Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?Yes 63.8% 80 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 15?No 99% 100.94 shares
- Will Trump visit China by March 31?Yes 50.1% 200 shares
- Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-02-22?Yes 11% 200 shares
- US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes 65% 200 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 13?No 99.7% 501.4 shares
- Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?Yes 90% 11.11 shares
- Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes 94.5% 31.75 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on January 15?No 99.1% 40.36 shares