Polymarket Trader

phcrux1

0xc8625094f8b6f88a28fec3a1362caf49bbd53fb2

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $301.87
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $2.29
Potential payout: $157.89
Potential profit: $155.61
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$0.71

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 9.1%
Current value: $8.16
Potential payout: $90.2
Potential profit: $82.03
Multiplier: 11.05x
User PnL: $0.76

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $2.86
Potential payout: $50.66
Potential profit: $47.8
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: -$0.14

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $40.67
Potential payout: $50.53
Potential profit: $9.85
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $0.67

No position

Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $31.18
Potential payout: $43.01
Potential profit: $11.83
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: -$0.42

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $17.85
Potential payout: $32.17
Potential profit: $14.31
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: -$0.15

No position

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98%
Current value: $30.55
Potential payout: $31.19
Potential profit: $0.64
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.55

Yes position

Will Ed Markey be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?

Ends Sep 1, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $19.18
Potential payout: $26.09
Potential profit: $6.91
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $2.18

Yes position

Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.6%
Current value: $3.77
Potential payout: $25.88
Potential profit: $22.11
Multiplier: 6.87x
User PnL: $2.94

No position

Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $20.25
Potential payout: $25.16
Potential profit: $4.91
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $0.25

No position

Will Romelu Lukaku score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $6.73
Potential payout: $24.48
Potential profit: $17.75
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: -$0.37

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $1.62
Potential payout: $24.4
Potential profit: $22.78
Multiplier: 15.04x
User PnL: -$0.38

Yes position

Will Janeese Lewis George win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $19.55
Potential payout: $19.86
Potential profit: $0.31
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $7.55

Yes position

Will Brad Lander be the Democratic nominee for NY-10?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 98.2%
Current value: $16.32
Potential payout: $16.63
Potential profit: $0.31
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $2.37

Yes position

Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 30%
Current value: $4.73
Potential payout: $15.75
Potential profit: $11.03
Multiplier: 3.33x
User PnL: -$1.27

No position

Will Trump say "Gay" in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $12.06
Potential payout: $14.98
Potential profit: $2.92
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $4.56

No position

Will Trump say "Big League" or "Bigly" in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 48%
Current value: $6.97
Potential payout: $14.51
Potential profit: $7.55
Multiplier: 2.08x
User PnL: -$1.03

Yes position

Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?

Ends Aug 11, 2026

Implied probability: 78%
Current value: $10.4
Potential payout: $13.33
Potential profit: $2.93
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: $0.4

No position

Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 74%
Current value: $9.87
Potential payout: $13.33
Potential profit: $3.47
Multiplier: 1.35x
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $4.34
Potential payout: $12.94
Potential profit: $8.61
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: -$0.86

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 81%
Current value: $9.88
Potential payout: $12.2
Potential profit: $2.32
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: -$0.12

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $10.77
Potential payout: $11.9
Potential profit: $1.13
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $0.77

Yes position

Will Senegal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $1.71
Potential payout: $11.76
Potential profit: $10.06
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$0.29

No position

Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $10.18
Potential payout: $11.76
Potential profit: $1.59
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $0.18

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Tunisia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 92% 7.35 shares
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Yes 26% 3.85 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 76% 7.04 shares
Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 36.2% 8.29 shares
Knicks vs. Spurs

Spurs 72% 1.39 shares
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw?

Yes 26% 3.85 shares
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?

Yes 81% 3.7 shares
SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on First Day?

Down 28% 7.14 shares
Will Trump say "Sacrifice" this week?

No 74% 1.35 shares
Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week?

No 86% 2.33 shares
Will Trump say "Interest rate" this week?

No 79% 2.53 shares
Will Trump say "Maduro" this week?

No 85% 2.35 shares