Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.33
- Potential payout
- $666.67
- Potential profit
- $666.33
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.67
Polymarket Trader
R53
0xc86dbbaf9ec073fadf11b217159087433d142e76
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $250.54
- Realized PnL
- $330.62
- Win rate
- 54.2%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $399.99
- Potential profit
- $399.99
- User PnL
- -$11.96
No position
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $171.75
- Potential payout
- $327.14
- Potential profit
- $155.39
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- $14.75
No position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.16
- Potential payout
- $325
- Potential profit
- $324.84
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$12.83
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.12
- Potential payout
- $249.99
- Potential profit
- $249.86
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$8.87
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $240.4
- Potential profit
- $240.4
- User PnL
- -$55.74
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.6%
- Current value
- $7.4
- Potential payout
- $133.33
- Potential profit
- $125.93
- Multiplier
- 18.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.6
Under position
Norway vs. France: O/U 3.5
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $53.54
- Potential payout
- $91.53
- Potential profit
- $37.98
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.46
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19%
- Current value
- $17.23
- Potential payout
- $90.91
- Potential profit
- $73.68
- Multiplier
- 5.28x
- User PnL
- -$0.77
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $130.2
No position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.67
No position
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.17
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.18
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.91
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.31
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.14
Yes position
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.61
No position
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- $2.63
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.44
Yes position
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.7
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
No position
Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
Ceasefire position
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.8%
- Multiplier
- 7.27x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.14
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.34
Yes position
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.42
No position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Trump say "Eagle" in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Trump say "Bird" in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on June 26?Yes 3.6% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on June 26?No 4% 125 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on June 26?No 4% 200 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 26?Yes 0.3% 333.33 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 26?Yes 0.3% 333.33 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on June 26?Yes 97% 47.61 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on June 26?Yes 21% 47.62 shares
- Norway vs. France: O/U 3.5Under 59% 91.53 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 25?No 1.9% 34.2 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 25?No 10% 50 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on June 25?Yes 22% 136.57 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on June 25?Yes 25.9% 19.31 shares