Yes position
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $56.94
- Potential payout
- $3.67K
- Potential profit
- $3.62K
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$37.37
Polymarket Trader
donalddumps
0xc87ae1463755dfd6412843f6275cccf2ca09022e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.02K
- Realized PnL
- $13.69
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 23
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $57.97
- Potential payout
- $3.62K
- Potential profit
- $3.56K
- Multiplier
- 62.50x
- User PnL
- -$28.76
Yes position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $295.41
- Potential payout
- $3.48K
- Potential profit
- $3.18K
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$28.41
Yes position
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $32.81
- Potential payout
- $3.28K
- Potential profit
- $3.25K
- Multiplier
- 100.00x
- User PnL
- -$41.97
Yes position
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $60.04
- Potential payout
- $3.25K
- Potential profit
- $3.19K
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- -$20.19
Yes position
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $39.37
- Potential payout
- $3.15K
- Potential profit
- $3.11K
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$29.92
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $40.65
- Potential payout
- $3.01K
- Potential profit
- $2.97K
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$26.77
Yes position
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $61.43
- Potential payout
- $2.61K
- Potential profit
- $2.55K
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- -$18.1
Yes position
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $12.79
- Potential payout
- $2.32K
- Potential profit
- $2.31K
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$44.61
Yes position
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $58.8
- Potential payout
- $2.18K
- Potential profit
- $2.12K
- Multiplier
- 37.04x
- User PnL
- $3.77
Yes position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $57.77
- Potential payout
- $2.1K
- Potential profit
- $2.04K
- Multiplier
- 36.36x
- User PnL
- -$3.32
Yes position
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $29.83
- Potential payout
- $1.57K
- Potential profit
- $1.54K
- Multiplier
- 52.63x
- User PnL
- -$2.38
Yes position
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $11.75
- Potential payout
- $1.57K
- Potential profit
- $1.56K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$23.27
Yes position
Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $9.05
- Potential payout
- $1.39K
- Potential profit
- $1.38K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$22.78
Yes position
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $1.66
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $1.11K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$27.43
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $30.22
- Potential payout
- $853.59
- Potential profit
- $823.37
- Multiplier
- 28.25x
- User PnL
- -$0.87
Yes position
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $28.45
- Potential payout
- $824.69
- Potential profit
- $796.24
- Multiplier
- 28.99x
- User PnL
- -$1.2
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17%
- Current value
- $65.12
- Potential payout
- $383.09
- Potential profit
- $317.96
- Multiplier
- 5.88x
- User PnL
- -$19.1
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 37%
- Current value
- $30.74
- Potential payout
- $83.07
- Potential profit
- $52.34
- Multiplier
- 2.70x
- User PnL
- -$9.53
No position
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.2%
- Current value
- $23.23
- Potential payout
- $24.4
- Potential profit
- $1.17
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.65
No position
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $10.17
- Potential payout
- $11.23
- Potential profit
- $1.07
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.74
Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $1.26
- Potential payout
- $10.98
- Potential profit
- $9.71
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- $0.16
Yes position
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 6.9%
- Current value
- $0.71
- Potential payout
- $10.43
- Potential profit
- $9.71
- Multiplier
- 14.60x
- User PnL
- $0.3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.7%
- Multiplier
- 9.39x
- User PnL
- $5.77
Yes position
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- $5.29
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.52
No position
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 88%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.12
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?No 52% 19.6 shares
- Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 4.2% 10 shares
- Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 4.2% 10 shares
- Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 3.9% 19.39 shares
- Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 4.4% 21.03 shares
- Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 5.2% 12.4 shares
- Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 4.7% 40.31 shares
- Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 4.4% 85.73 shares
- Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 4.3% 0.85 shares
- Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 4.4% 28.7 shares
- Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 4.2% 30.11 shares
- Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 4.2% 17.97 shares