Yes position
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.2%
- Current value
- $87.67
- Potential payout
- $666.67
- Potential profit
- $579
- Multiplier
- 7.60x
- User PnL
- $77.67
Polymarket Trader
Darkkhaos
0xc87bcb52fe17e1e0e56a07e4cb656154c6829152
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $369.97
- Realized PnL
- $301.78
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.9%
- Current value
- $10.96
- Potential payout
- $384.62
- Potential profit
- $373.65
- Multiplier
- 35.09x
- User PnL
- $0.96
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $142.86
- Potential profit
- $142.86
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $96.16
- Potential profit
- $96.16
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $54.43
- Potential payout
- $85.72
- Potential profit
- $31.29
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- $1.41
Yes position
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.9%
- Current value
- $34.03
- Potential payout
- $58.78
- Potential profit
- $24.75
- Multiplier
- 1.73x
- User PnL
- $9.03
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $57.47
- Potential profit
- $57.47
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.3%
- Current value
- $9.63
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $45.92
- Multiplier
- 5.77x
- User PnL
- $4.63
Yes position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Current value
- $2.33
- Potential payout
- $55.48
- Potential profit
- $53.15
- Multiplier
- 23.81x
- User PnL
- -$12.67
Yes position
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82%
- Current value
- $26.02
- Potential payout
- $31.73
- Potential profit
- $5.71
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $1.02
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.9%
- Current value
- $3.92
- Potential payout
- $30.49
- Potential profit
- $26.57
- Multiplier
- 7.78x
- User PnL
- -$1.08
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.7%
- Current value
- $9.12
- Potential payout
- $27.93
- Potential profit
- $18.81
- Multiplier
- 3.06x
- User PnL
- $4.12
No position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $23.01
- Potential payout
- $24.48
- Potential profit
- $1.47
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $3.01
Yes position
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 21%
- Current value
- $4.88
- Potential payout
- $23.26
- Potential profit
- $18.37
- Multiplier
- 4.76x
- User PnL
- -$5.12
Yes position
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $19.67
- Potential payout
- $22.48
- Potential profit
- $2.81
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$0.33
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $18
- Potential payout
- $21.05
- Potential profit
- $3.05
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $3
Yes position
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $4.9
- Potential payout
- $20.83
- Potential profit
- $15.94
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $9.9
- Potential payout
- $20.41
- Potential profit
- $10.51
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $16.71
- Potential payout
- $18.67
- Potential profit
- $1.96
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $1.71
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.7%
- Current value
- $12.15
- Potential payout
- $15.65
- Potential profit
- $3.5
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $2.15
Yes position
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.15
- Potential profit
- $15.15
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $9.93
- Potential payout
- $13.89
- Potential profit
- $3.96
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Yes position
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $4.54
- Potential payout
- $13.16
- Potential profit
- $8.62
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- -$0.46
No position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $8.16
- Potential payout
- $12.66
- Potential profit
- $4.49
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- -$1.84
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.6
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.46
Yes position
Will Max Verstappen finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.17
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.52
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.4
Yes position
Will England win on 2026-07-05?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.21
Yes position
Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.02
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.49
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.86
No position
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.87
Yes position
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.25
No position
US strikes Iran by February 4, 2026?
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.98
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.71
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.17
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.86
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.4
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.32
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.14
Y
Yes position
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.13
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.03
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-06-30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.98
Yes position
Will no government funding bill be passed by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.97
No position
Another US bank failure by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.82
Yes position
Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.42
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?Yes 43% 11.63 shares
- Will France win on 2026-07-09?Yes 62% 8.06 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?Yes 72% 13.89 shares
- Will England win on 2026-07-05?Yes 57% 8.77 shares
- Will England win on 2026-07-05?Yes 58% 8.62 shares
- Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?Yes 38% 13.16 shares
- Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?Yes 24% 20.83 shares
- Will England win on 2026-07-05?Yes 39% 12.82 shares
- Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?Yes 54% 9.26 shares
- Will France win on 2026-07-04?Yes 83% 12.05 shares
- Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?Yes 86% 5.81 shares
- Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?Yes 52% 9.62 shares