Yes position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $1.49K
- Potential payout
- $15.73K
- Potential profit
- $14.23K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$315.9
Polymarket Trader
regardedtrader
0xc8815bb26f39030ba277247c6437680eef4fb071
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $7.76K
- Realized PnL
- $2.79K
- Win rate
- 54.2%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.5K
- Potential profit
- $12.5K
- User PnL
- -$91.63
Yes position
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $178.07
- Potential payout
- $10.79K
- Potential profit
- $10.61K
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$553.09
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Current value
- $4.46K
- Potential payout
- $6.6K
- Potential profit
- $2.15K
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- $238.83
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $916.85
- Potential payout
- $6.32K
- Potential profit
- $5.41K
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$695.33
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $714.79
- Potential payout
- $3.18K
- Potential profit
- $2.46K
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- -$785.21
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.47K
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13K
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $809.61
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.8%
- Multiplier
- 20.83x
- User PnL
- $759.16
Yes position
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $687.08
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $594.69
Yes position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- $446.03
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $317.92
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $257.32
Yes position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $207.35
No position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $147.72
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.4
Y
Yes position
Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 8?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.88
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 18, 2026?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- -$62.82
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$145.51
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.8%
- Multiplier
- 26.32x
- User PnL
- -$202.39
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$270.96
No position
Israeli forces cross the Litani River again by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$370.54
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$393.27
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- -$687.95
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.9%
- Multiplier
- 12.74x
- User PnL
- -$970.37
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.08x
- User PnL
- -$1.04K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 66% 600 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 63.7% 6,000 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 38.3% 5,000 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 7.2% 12,174.19 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 76% 968.08 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 54.6% 968.08 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 59% 5,000 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 12% 5,174.19 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 17.5% 7,000 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 25.5% 6,323.1 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 18, 2026?Yes 55.8% 154.3 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 18, 2026?Yes 54.4% 565.01 shares