Polymarket Trader

ade007

0xc8aef36d6178e9bb2f69f2890504cbb0aeee93ea

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $799.75
Realized PnL: $26.19K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 15.1%
Current value: $614.04
Potential payout: $4.08K
Potential profit: $3.47K
Multiplier: 6.64x
User PnL: $87.24

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $163.36
Potential payout: $573.41
Potential profit: $410.05
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: $20.37

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $12.31
Potential payout: $63.29
Potential profit: $50.98
Multiplier: 5.14x
User PnL: $1.74

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $1.39
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $8.62
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: -$0.33

Yes position

Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $8.65
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $1.35
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $0.85

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.58K

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.98K

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.47K

No position

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.19K

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.06K

Yes position

Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.51K

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.23K

No position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $998.21

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $803

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $430.63

No position

Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $328.96

No position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $174.45

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $143.48

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.72

Yes position

Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $77.64

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.41

Club Atlético de Madrid position

Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33

Yes position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-22?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.85

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.24

No position

Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.39

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.53

Yes position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.77

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.95

Yes position

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.19

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 1.5

Under 76% 2,632.31 shares
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 29% 8,589.92 shares
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 30% 1,761.57 shares
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 30% 100 shares
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 30% 40 shares
South Africa vs. Korea Republic: 2nd Half O/U 0.5

Over 77% 9 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16% 1,080 shares
South Africa vs. Korea Republic: Draw at halftime?

Yes 62% 16 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 75% 13 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 11.8% 3,000 shares
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 25% 5,805.92 shares
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 25% 1,134.04 shares