Polymarket Trader

tim8866

0xc8b15a35a207a5b47bb9688903c97d7d5ad5144f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $113.4
Realized PnL: $1.41K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will 225 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $33.63
Potential payout: $33.64
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $0.19

No position

Will 175-199 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $22.94
Potential payout: $22.98
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $0.53

Yes position

Will National Liberation Front (FLN) win the most seats in the 2026 Algerian parliamentary elections?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $11.02
Potential payout: $11.04
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $0.22

No position

Iran full airspace closure by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 97.3%
Current value: $9.71
Potential payout: $9.98
Potential profit: $0.27
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$0.04

No position

Israel closes its airspace by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $9.74
Potential payout: $9.85
Potential profit: $0.1
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: -$0.01

No position

Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $9.73
Potential payout: $9.83
Potential profit: $0.1
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: -$0.02

No position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $9.73
Potential payout: $9.8
Potential profit: $0.07
User PnL: -$0.02

No position

0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $6.9
Potential payout: $6.96
Potential profit: $0.06
User PnL: $0.16

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $185.14

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $111.7

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.28

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.15

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.11

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.09

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.33

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.54

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.13

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.66

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.19

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.7

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.74

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.35

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.59

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.47

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.11

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.49

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.47

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.89

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $35.09

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.66

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Iran full airspace closure by July 15?

No 97.7% 9.98 shares
Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 15?

No 99.2% 9.83 shares
Israel closes its airspace by July 15?

No 99% 9.85 shares
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?

No 99.5% 9.8 shares
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 14, 2026?

Yes 97.9% 9.81 shares
Will JPMorgan Chase (JPM) beat quarterly earnings?

Yes 99% 9.67 shares
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 14?

No 96.9% 6.96 shares
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 13, 2026?

No 99.5% 10.1 shares
Will Caley McDonald win the 2026 Cornwall-Meadowbank PEI Legislative Assembly by-election?

No 97.9% 15.33 shares
Will 175-199 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?

No 97.5% 22.98 shares
Will 225 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?

No 99.4% 33.64 shares
Will BN win the 2026 Johor general elections?

Yes 97.1% 30.27 shares