Polymarket Trader

-mp

0xc8d7f2e27266906edf536c246420cf6115373279

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $57.49
Realized PnL: $110.23
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 47.3%
Current value: $55.98
Potential payout: $118.35
Potential profit: $62.37
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: -$13.02

Yes position

Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $0.54
Potential payout: $17.54
Potential profit: $17.01
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: -$0.46

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.8
Potential profit: $9.8
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $0.97
Potential payout: $6.67
Potential profit: $5.7
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$0.03

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.73

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.46

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.75

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.9

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.46

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.27

No position

U.S. strike on Somalia by February 7?

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.21

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.16

Yes position

Starmer out by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.91

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.97

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

No position

Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $2.27

Yes position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.14

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.9

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.89

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.39

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.25

Yes position

Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.23

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.08

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.08

Yes position

Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.06

Yes position

Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 6?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.02

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

Yes 58.3% 118.35 shares
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Yes 32.6% 9.17 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?

No 97.9% 66.89 shares
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?

No 9% 5.55 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET

Down 3% 8.95 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET

Down 54% 8.95 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET

Up 58% 7.72 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET

Up 63% 7.73 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET

Down 88% 80.72 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET

Down 80% 80.72 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET

Up 78% 2.79 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET

Up 70% 2.8 shares