Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.5K
- Potential profit
- $7.5K
- User PnL
- -$3.22K
Polymarket Trader
tywed
0xc8e3b71b2d059cd1a54b1631d302980a41766fb0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $13.4K
- Realized PnL
- $39.29K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.27K
- Potential profit
- $5.27K
- User PnL
- -$2.09K
No position
Will Kevin Spacey be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.1%
- Current value
- $4.3K
- Potential payout
- $4.43K
- Potential profit
- $128.51
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $515.3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.01K
- Potential profit
- $4.01K
- User PnL
- -$1.75K
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.99K
- Potential profit
- $3.99K
- User PnL
- -$1.17K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.6K
- Potential profit
- $3.6K
- User PnL
- -$1.28K
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.52K
- Potential profit
- $2.52K
- User PnL
- -$907.48
No position
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $1.64K
- Potential payout
- $2.32K
- Potential profit
- $684.71
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- $30.36
No position
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.8%
- Current value
- $1.75K
- Potential payout
- $1.89K
- Potential profit
- $136.88
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $73.54
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.8K
- Potential profit
- $1.8K
- User PnL
- -$578.88
No position
US military draft authorized in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $1.25K
- Potential payout
- $1.34K
- Potential profit
- $86.78
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $144.84
No position
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $731.3
- Potential payout
- $1.29K
- Potential profit
- $563.26
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $85.8
No position
SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 19%
- Current value
- $244.9
- Potential payout
- $1.29K
- Potential profit
- $1.04K
- Multiplier
- 5.26x
- User PnL
- -$221.29
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.02K
- Potential profit
- $1.02K
- User PnL
- -$856.65
Yes position
SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.4%
- Current value
- $953.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $46.5
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $23.5
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $800
- User PnL
- -$536
No position
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $494.05
- Potential payout
- $681.45
- Potential profit
- $187.4
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $19.28
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $625.65
- Potential payout
- $631.01
- Potential profit
- $5.36
- User PnL
- $70.36
Anthropic position
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 79%
- Current value
- $474
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $126
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $90
Yes position
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $1.2
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $598.8
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- -$94.8
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $520.32
- Potential profit
- $520.32
- User PnL
- -$288.09
No position
Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $496.25
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $3.75
- User PnL
- $96.25
Yes position
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.6%
- Current value
- $442.75
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $57.25
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $6.75
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $470.14
- Potential profit
- $470.14
- User PnL
- -$202.16
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Solana Up or Down - December 8, 12PM ET
Ends Dec 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.91K
Steelers position
Ravens vs. Steelers
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.54K
Down position
Solana Up or Down - December 9, 12AM ET
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.83K
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.96K
No position
Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.77K
Down position
Solana Up or Down - December 9, 5AM ET
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.1K
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.65K
Rams position
Rams vs. Bears
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.44K
No position
Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriffs by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.36K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.19K
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1K
Up position
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03K
Down position
Solana Up or Down - December 15, 10AM ET
Ends Dec 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $760.62
Up position
Solana Up or Down - December 9, 9AM ET
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $759.04
Up position
Solana Up or Down - December 15, 4AM ET
Ends Dec 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $751.39
Patriots position
Patriots vs. Broncos
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $747.82
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $622.56
Down position
Solana Up or Down - December 8, 10AM ET
Ends Dec 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $617.49
Up position
Solana Up or Down - December 14, 11PM ET
Ends Dec 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $555.13
Up position
Solana Up or Down - December 15, 7AM ET
Ends Dec 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $553
Up position
Solana Up or Down - December 14, 9PM ET
Ends Dec 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $536.74
Down position
Solana Up or Down - December 13, 5PM ET
Ends Dec 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $527
Yes position
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $498.4
Down position
Solana Up or Down - December 10, 11AM ET
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $478.31
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Kevin Spacey be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?No 98.8% 39.18 shares
- Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?No 77% 25 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:35AM ETDown 43% 470.14 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:25AM-2:30AM ETDown 34.2% 460.08 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:25AM-2:30AM ETDown 31.5% 1,339.92 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:15AM-2:20AM ETDown 75% 38 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:15AM-2:20AM ETDown 67.5% 519.89 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:10AM-2:15AM ETUp 71.4% 262.87 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ETUp 38% 890.83 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:35AM-3:40AM ETUp 27% 650.44 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:35AM-3:40AM ETUp 47.6% 546.65 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:35AM-3:40AM ETUp 45.7% 1,292.23 shares