Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.01K
- Potential profit
- $3.01K
- User PnL
- -$40
Polymarket Trader
0xc8EEc216aCB676922b6c342C5Dd890833003E021-1776004482026
0xc8eec216acb676922b6c342c5dd890833003e021
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $133.98
- Realized PnL
- $302.1
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 15
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $2.75
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $1.1K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$19.31
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.06K
- Potential profit
- $1.06K
- User PnL
- -$257.37
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $741.94
- Potential profit
- $741.94
- User PnL
- -$281
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $122
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $278
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- $6
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $399.99
- Potential profit
- $399.99
- User PnL
- -$206.4
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $220
- Potential profit
- $220
- User PnL
- -$75.45
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$47
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $6.75
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $143.25
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$8.25
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $2.03
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $147.98
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- $0.22
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.45
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $99.55
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.75
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $115.87
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $108.45
No position
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.59
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.05
Y
Yes position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.48
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.46
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- $5.68
Yes position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.61
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.37
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $2
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$3.44
Yes position
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.7%
- Multiplier
- 27.40x
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$11.1
No position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$17.91
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 31% 200 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Yes 1% 1,000 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 23% 99.99 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes 1% 182.55 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?Yes 66% 200 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?Yes 30% 5 shares
- US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?Yes 84.8% 153.84 shares
- US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?Yes 78% 153.85 shares
- Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?Yes 11% 100 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 14?Yes 11.3% 99.99 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?Yes 68.7% 224.76 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?Yes 24% 124.76 shares