Yes position
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.57K
- Potential profit
- $16.57K
- User PnL
- -$55.45
Polymarket Trader
bearlow
0xc8fdab31c245f31767fb8f88374a689149666b3a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.63K
- Realized PnL
- $17.46K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $343
- Potential payout
- $11.25K
- Potential profit
- $10.9K
- Multiplier
- 32.79x
- User PnL
- $19.68
Yes position
Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.74K
- Potential profit
- $2.74K
- User PnL
- -$151.21
Yes position
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$920
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $146.33
- Potential payout
- $1.64K
- Potential profit
- $1.49K
- Multiplier
- 11.17x
- User PnL
- $25.9
Yes position
Will Sentimental Value win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.6K
- Potential profit
- $1.6K
- User PnL
- -$9.6
Yes position
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3%
- Current value
- $45
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.46K
- Multiplier
- 33.33x
- User PnL
- $7.63
Yes position
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.36K
- Potential profit
- $1.36K
- User PnL
- -$163.14
Yes position
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.6%
- Current value
- $129.5
- Potential payout
- $1.35K
- Potential profit
- $1.22K
- Multiplier
- 10.42x
- User PnL
- $50.18
Yes position
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.9%
- Current value
- $320.02
- Potential payout
- $1.24K
- Potential profit
- $917.98
- Multiplier
- 3.87x
- User PnL
- -$62.43
Yes position
Will Aftyn Behn win TN-7 Special Election?
Ends Dec 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.2K
- User PnL
- -$156
Stefanos Tsitsipas position
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$687.26
No position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$110
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$40.7
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 55%
- Current value
- $550
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $450
- Multiplier
- 1.82x
- User PnL
- $30
Yes position
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $28
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $972
- Multiplier
- 35.71x
- User PnL
- -$1.83
Yes position
Will Sydney Sweeney be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$380
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $66.24
- Potential payout
- $883.17
- Potential profit
- $816.93
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$4.42
Yes position
Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $875.46
- Potential profit
- $875.46
- User PnL
- -$157.58
No position
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $875.01
- Potential profit
- $875.01
- User PnL
- -$235.94
Della Maddalena position
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $800
- User PnL
- -$216
No position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $748
- Potential profit
- $748
- User PnL
- -$234.45
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $700
- User PnL
- -$76.3
Yes position
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-03?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $700
- User PnL
- -$112
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.35K
Yes position
Will Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.56K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.28K
Sean Strickland position
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $810
No position
Will Anca Alexandrescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $672.93
No position
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $589.39
Yes position
Will the government shutdown end November 13?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $584.98
Yes position
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $563.88
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $520.38
Aurora position
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $487.13
Yes position
US military action against Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $430.29
Yes position
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $423
Yes position
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $414.8
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $401.01
Yes position
Will Girona vs. Real Madrid end in a draw?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $393.77
Nuggets position
Nuggets vs. Clippers
Ends Nov 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $390
Yes position
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-11?
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $386.1
Yes position
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $379.99
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $333
Yes position
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $328
Yes position
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $307.35
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $294.14
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $287.5
Yes position
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $281.68
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?Yes 30.9% 300 shares
- Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?Yes 30.6% 5 shares
- Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?Yes 30% 102 shares
- Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?Yes 29.2% 231 shares
- Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5)Bosnia and Herzegovina 46% 400 shares
- Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?No 59% 400 shares
- Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?Yes 31.7% 600 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?Yes 61% 150 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?Yes 60% 50 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?Yes 58% 151 shares
- Will Senegal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 31.7% 1,464.45 shares
- Will Senegal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 34% 1,464.45 shares