Polymarket Trader

junderwood

0xc906de1fde1406f534d2f6d6534793a15a726d2f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.32K
Realized PnL: $999.35
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $879.27
Potential payout: $950.56
Potential profit: $71.29
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $74.27

Yes position

Will Trump resign today?

Ends Sep 2, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $572.73
Potential profit: $572.73
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 50%
Current value: $259.63
Potential payout: $519.26
Potential profit: $259.63
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: -$65.37

Yes position

Trump out as President in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Minnesota governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $68.59
Potential payout: $73.36
Potential profit: $4.77
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $8.59

Yes position

Will Trump resign in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $72.46
Potential profit: $72.46
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $66.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50.85
Potential profit: $50.85
User PnL: -$6

No position

Will any Louvre heist robbers be arrested by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $48.08
Potential profit: $48.08
User PnL: -$25

No position

Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Aug 11, 2026

Implied probability: 75%
Current value: $30.32
Potential payout: $40.43
Potential profit: $10.11
Multiplier: 1.33x
User PnL: $11.32

No position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.4%
Current value: $35.13
Potential payout: $37.23
Potential profit: $2.1
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.13

No position

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $27.99
Potential payout: $28.17
Potential profit: $0.18
User PnL: $7.99

Yes position

Zelenskyy wears a suit and tie during next Trump meeting?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.27
Potential profit: $27.27
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $13.6
Potential payout: $24.5
Potential profit: $10.9
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: $1.59

Yes position

Will Trump say "Peace in the Middle East" while addressing the nation on December 17?

Ends Dec 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.45
Potential profit: $24.45
User PnL: -$16

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.12
Potential profit: $23.12
User PnL: -$9

Ohio State position

Ohio State vs. Indiana

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Israel strike Gaza on December 25?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.22
Potential profit: $16.22
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Will anyone say "Predict" or "Prediction" 10+ times during South Park's prediction market episode?

Ends Sep 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.81
Potential profit: $15.81
User PnL: -$9.17

Yes position

Will Atlas have a Windows app live by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.49
Potential profit: $11.49
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.31
Potential profit: $10.31
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Trump say "Terrible" or "Horrible" while addressing the nation on December 17?

Ends Dec 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.4
Potential profit: $8.4
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $5.16
Potential payout: $5.17
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $2.16

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $3.94
Potential payout: $4.21
Potential profit: $0.27
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: -$0.06

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Biden resign before the election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $195.75

No position

Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.14

Yes position

Will Biden finish his term?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.57

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.1

No position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.72

No position

Will it be confirmed that Luigi Mangione used psychedelics?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50

Yes position

Will Trump post on X again before election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.21

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.81

Yes position

Will Trump say "god" 4+ times during his inauguration speech?

Ends Feb 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.02

Yes position

Will Trump say "America" 15 or more times during his inauguration speech?

Ends Feb 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.33

Yes position

Will Mike Johnson be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.45

Yes position

Brown and MIT shooters confirmed to be same person?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.71

No position

US recession in 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.35

No position

OpenAI social app before June?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.09

Yes position

Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.69

No position

Will TikTok be banned again before May?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.6

Yes position

Will Trump say "America first" during his inauguration speech?

Ends Feb 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.49

Yes position

New Pope in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.37

No position

Will Ben Carson be a member of the Trump administration?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.36

No position

Will Biden say "Sick" during drop out speech?

Ends Jul 24, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.08

Yes position

Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?

Ends Dec 8, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.84

Yes position

Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.76

No position

Will the US ban sharing deepfake nudes in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13

Yes position

Trump gets more black voters than in 2020?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.9

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

No 91.9% 97.93 shares
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?

Yes 55.8% 62.77 shares
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?

No 71% 28.17 shares
Epstein client list released in 2025?

No 99.5% 56.26 shares
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

No 84% 178.57 shares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 49% 10.2 shares
Zelenskyy wears a suit and tie during next Trump meeting?

Yes 11% 27.27 shares
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

No 94% 37.23 shares
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 25?

No 74% 12.16 shares
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 25?

No 74% 4.05 shares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 49% 14.29 shares
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

No 83% 120.48 shares