No position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.38K
- Potential profit
- $1.38K
- User PnL
- -$179.6
Polymarket Trader
dvc-sln
0xc909019a3995ae3b32a2e92af033de898917a22f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.73K
- Realized PnL
- -$9.41
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 2
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $652.53
- Potential payout
- $1.24K
- Potential profit
- $590.38
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- $127.53
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $884.53
- Potential payout
- $966.7
- Potential profit
- $82.17
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $251.64
No position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $526.31
- Potential profit
- $526.31
- User PnL
- -$65
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $191.51
- Potential payout
- $264.15
- Potential profit
- $72.64
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $51.51
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $3.32
Yes position
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.2%
- Multiplier
- 2.92x
- User PnL
- -$12.73
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 43% 116.28 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 42.2% 237.21 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 48% 312.5 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 39% 217.95 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 72% 107.4 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 53% 264.15 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 39% 358.97 shares
- Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 28% 1,022.76 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 76% 320 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes 76% 320 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?No 14.4% 554.69 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?No 12.4% 526.31 shares